North Korea may be the biggest black swan of all

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    George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, recently warned that the U.S.’s big military buildup off the Korean peninsula — including two aircraft carriers and daily exercises by more than 100 F-16 aircraft (which also preceded Operation Desert Storm in 1991) — means a U.S. attack on North Korea is imminent.

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    Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.