South Asia

China and India Are Still Rivals

By Andrew Davidson In late October, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on the sidelines of the BRICS assembly in...

Graphic Essay: Energy Market Volatility

For many countries, including major geopolitical players, energy resources rank among the most politically and economically sensitive commodities. Prices for these resources are shaped...

Daily Memo: Georgian Elections, British Military Reforms

Results are in. Georgian President Salome Zourabichvili vowed not to recognize the results of parliamentary elections held over the weekend that saw the governing...

BRICS Runs Into a Wall

For leaders such as Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, the annual BRICS summit is an excellent opportunity to present a vision of a world...

India’s Northeastern Borderlands at Risk

Between discontented citizens and disputed borders, India’s northeast has long posed challenges for the government in New Delhi. The area is cut off from...

Graphic Essay: Emerging Technologies

From the wheel to the internal combustion engine, new technologies have, for better or worse, fundamentally transformed our society. The emerging technologies listed have...

For the Quad, Economics Is Security

The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, a loose affiliation comprising the United States, Australia, Japan and India and known more commonly as the Quad, plays an...

Southwest Asia’s Shatter Belt

A strategic vacuum is expanding where Pakistan, Iran and Afghanistan meet. All three states are devolving, each in its own way and at its...

On Ukraine, India Stands Firm With Neutrality

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Kyiv on Friday to meet with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is a calculated diplomatic move designed to underscore...

The Deep Malaise Afflicting Pakistan’s Security Establishment

After decades of dominating the state, Pakistan’s national security establishment has succumbed to the sort of political strife that has wracked the country throughout...

The New Arc of Crisis in Southern Eurasia

Strategic analysis usually entails an in-depth examination of a specific area or issue, but sometimes it is necessary to zoom out and take a...

Graphic Essay: The Fight Against Global Hunger

Last year, approximately 30 percent of the world’s population experienced moderate to severe food insecurity. This means some 2.3 billion people “compromised on the...

India Moves in on Southeast Asia

Last week, the foreign ministers of India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations met in Vientiane to discuss ways to enhance political, security...

Graphic Essay: Global Chokepoints in Maritime Trade

Editor’s note: The following is the first of what we hope will be many Monthly Graphics, a visual-rich, subscriber-only essay that complements our long-form...

Daily Memo: Hezbollah Considers Its Options

Plan for Hezbollah. A senior officer from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps met in Baghdad with leaders of pro-Iranian factions in Iraq to discuss...

China’s Pakistan Problem

While ordinarily strong, Sino-Pakistani relations have been strained lately, at least in part by the political and economic meltdown in Islamabad. The tension was...

Latest Posts

The heartland of South Asia is the Indo-Gangetic Plain, a large and fertile region based around the Indus and Ganges river systems, as well as the Bramaputra in Bangladesh and eastern India.

The center of gravity of South Asia is the balance of power between Pakistan and India. Historically, India has struggled to assert itself within the subcontinent because of its complex internal divisions.

The future of Afghanistan matters to the degree it could weaken Pakistan, thereby tipping the balance of power in India’s favor.

There is an intense rivalry between China and India, but the geography of the region, including the existence of buffer states such as Nepal and Bhutan, typically prevents them from coming to blows.

Read Regional Assessment

The Future of India...

India will work to improve ties with Central Asia and strengthen alliances with secondary powers like Japan and Australia.

South Asia in our Memos

Continue to the category

More from South Asia

Continue to the category

Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Militants Relocate to Afghanistan, US Accuses China of Equipping Houthis

Domino theory. Some fighters from a Uyghur militant group who helped overthrow the Syrian regime reportedly relocated to Afghanistan and have settled in Panjshir...

Trust Issues in China’s Military

There’s been another shakeup in China’s People’s Liberation Army. Beijing recently revoked the membership of two high-ranking military officials, You Haitao and Li Pengcheng,...

Daily Memo: New Chapter in European-Russian Gas Trade

Blame game. Russia’s Gazprom ceased deliveries of natural gas to Europe via Ukraine on Jan. 1, citing Kyiv’s refusal to extend transit agreements. Ukraine’s...

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


Special Collection – The Middle East

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now