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Daily Memo: Global Oil Demand, Turkish Grain Duties

Supply crunch. Global competition for oil supplies is about to heat up, according to an analysis by Bloomberg. Since February 2022, Europe has reduced imports of Russian oil by more than a million barrels per day. At the same time, it’s seeing declining supplies from Iraq, which has suspended deliveries to the Continent through a […]

Victory Day

We are a few weeks away from the anniversary of Victory Day, which marks the Soviet Union’s defeat of Nazi Germany. The annual parade...

Daily Memo: Australia’s New Defense Priorities

Australia's defense outlook. The Australian government released its defense strategic review on Monday. The report signaled a significant shift in Australia’s defense outlook, pledging...

Opening a Trans-Caspian Corridor

A trans-Caspian energy and trade corridor has long captured the interest of many nations that would benefit from its creation, and the war in...

Daily Memo: Chinese Drills, Turkish Mediation

Chinese drills. China’s People’s Liberation Army plans to conduct at least five military exercises in various locations. One of the drills will last three...

Transitional Presidencies

Lately I’ve been focused on the predictability of U.S. political transitions, which occur every 50 years or so and which indicate that we are...

Daily Memo: The EU’s Approach to Russia Sanctions

Reaching the limit. Future EU sanctions against Russia will likely not include new sectors of the economy that haven’t yet been targeted, according to...

Saudi Arabia’s Military and Economic Development Stagnation

There’s a strong correlation between raising a modern army and developing a strong economy, irrespective of whether the military or political leadership controls the...

Daily Memo: China-Russia Defense Talks, Israel Visits Iran’s Neighbors

Different takeaways. The defense ministers of China and Russia met on Tuesday and pledged to support each other’s core interests. They also said their...

The Battle for Eurasia’s Borderlands

Borderlands have long been an object of scrutiny in the realm of geopolitics, as they represent a point of convergence, interaction and oftentimes conflict...

Daily Memo: Chinese Rebound, Russian Diplomacy

Chinese growth. China’s economy grew by 4.5 percent year over year in the first quarter, according to newly released data from the National Bureau...

The Logic of American Strategy and War

In recent weeks I have focused on the social and economic evolution of the United States. Obviously, we also need to discuss U.S. strategic...

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