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Middle East and North Africa

Israel’s Gaza Operation Nears the Endgame

The seven-month-old war between Israel and Hamas appears to have reached a decisive stage. While an end to the fighting remains elusive, it is...

The Myth of the ‘Axis of Resistance’

The term “axis of resistance” was first coined as the United States invaded Iraq in 2003. Though the occupation allowed Iran to gain influence...

The New Imbalance of Power in the Middle East

The strategic situation in the Middle East is a culmination of Arab states’ decades-long failure to drive regional security. The Cold War, non-Arab regional...

For the US, 2024 Isn’t 1973

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Editor’s note: The rash of student protests throughout the United States is, however you feel about them, a result of America’s unwavering support for...

Israel’s Iron Wall Doctrine

Zeev Jabotinsky was a highly influential figure in Israeli history as a co-founder of the Jewish National Fund and the Jewish Legion who served...

How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...

For Iran and Israel, There’s No Going Back

A decades-old norm was broken April 13 when Iran fired hundreds of drones and missiles at Israel from its own territory, instead of relying...

Daily Memo: France Calls Out Azerbaijan, Russian Peacekeepers Go Home

French blowback. France recalled its ambassador to Azerbaijan for consultations after accusing Baku of taking “unilateral actions damaging to the relationship between our two...

US Strategy and the Iran Strike

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The U.S. has adopted a national strategy designed to use force without risking casualties of its own. This strategy has been on full display...

Iran’s Vulnerable Eastern Flank

Iran’s strategic position has significantly strengthened in the Middle East in the wake of the war in Gaza – even as its rear flank...

Iran’s Strategic Patience Dilemma

Iran faces a dilemma in the wake of the Israeli attack last week on its consulate in Damascus, which killed seven senior officers of...

Israel and Iran Step Toward the Brink

Iran has sworn that it will answer Israel’s recent airstrike on Tehran’s diplomatic compound in Syria, raising concerns over a wider conflict in the...

Jihadists Exploit US Conflicts with Russia and Iran

Five years after losing the last stronghold of its defunct caliphate in the Levant, the Islamic State is making a comeback. The group’s center...

In Egypt, a Hunger Revolt Is Unlikely

Egypt has been suffering an economic crisis for years, but now things are so bad that, according to observers, it threatens to result in...

Turkey Plays Defense Against Iran

Since it reemerged as a major player in the Middle East in the late 2000s, Turkey has consistently encountered the same obstacle to even...

The Gaza War: Where Israel, Hamas and Hezbollah Go From Here

Hamas’ attack on Israel last October defied logic. After decades of conflict between Israel and the Palestinians, a rational actor could have easily predicted...

Latest Posts

The meltdown of autocratic regimes currently underway in the Arab world has led to the growth of ungoverned spaces. The resulting vacuum is being dominated by armed Islamist non-state actors – in particular Salafist-jihadist militias.

The three non-Arab powers – Turkey, Iran and Israel – are trying to manage the regional commotion according to their national interests.

It was during the Cold War era that a deep ideological chasm in the Middle East began to coagulate. The struggle between those who adopted European secularism and those who crafted an ideology based on religious tradition had its roots in late 19th century Ottoman Empire. Roughly 100 years later, this struggle had polarized the region.

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Required Reads: Middle East and North Africa

From our Forecast...

The Vienna nuclear talks will result in a settlement. The Israeli Air Force will not attack Iran’s nuclear sites.

Middle East and North Africa in our Memos

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Daily Memo: Russia Strikes Kharkiv Region, Armenian and Azerbaijani Ministers Meet

Kharkiv assault. Russian forces launched a large assault on the border areas of the Kharkiv region in northeastern Ukraine on Friday. The Ukrainian Defense...

China Signals Economic Policy Changes

Senior Chinese officials are signaling that Beijing will announce a significant adjustment in the country’s economic strategy in July during a key meeting of...

Daily Memo: Iran Shores Up Ties, Armenia Withdraws Funds From Russia-led Grouping

Iranian allies. The commander of Iran’s Quds Force, Esmail Qaani, reportedly visited Lebanon and Iraq in recent weeks. According to local reports, he was...

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