Americas

Daily Memo: Kim and Xi Meet, Cuba Makes Preparations

Expanding ties. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged to deepen ties during a meeting in Pyongyang on Monday....

Daily Memo: Hungary-Ukraine Deal, Iraqi Disarmament Plans

One step closer. Hungary and Ukraine have reached a deal that could pave the path for the latter to begin accession negotiations with the...

George Answers Your Questions: The US-China Summit and Cuba

George Answers Your Questions: After the US-China Summit May 23, 2026 Question: “Socialist Market Economy with Chinese Characteristics” is the CCP’s official framing for its political,...

Colombia’s Presidential Race

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(click to enlarge) Colombia will hold presidential elections on May 31, with a runoff on June 21 if no candidate wins an outright majority. The...

George Answers Your Questions: After the US-China Summit

After the US-China Summit May 18, 2026 Question: I am not seeing the bits about China abandoning communist ideology in the quotes that are presented. What...

America’s Obsession With Cuba

Cuba and the United States have had a long history with each other. In 1818, Spain opened Cuba to international trade, and the United...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which my ego and I are professionally responsible for. What I...

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Washington’s Red Lines in Latin America

There’s evidence to suggest that the United States and China are gradually getting closer to some kind of understanding over economic and security matters....

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

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If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

2026 Forecast: Re-anchoring the World

Global In 2025, we noted that the world was becoming more unanchored compared to years past. Since World War II, the global order had had...

Latin American Reactions to Maduro’s Capture

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(click to enlarge) Reactions in Latin America to the United States’ detention of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro have been divided. In several countries – including...

Latest Posts

Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

Read Regional Assessment

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Kim and Xi Meet, Cuba Makes Preparations

Expanding ties. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged to deepen ties during a meeting in Pyongyang on Monday....

Reflecting on D-Day

I am writing this on June 6, 2026, 82 years after Gen. Dwight Eisenhower ordered Operation Overlord. That order – and the operation’s success...

George Answers Your Questions: Israel’s Strategic Problem

Israel’s Strategic Problem June 2, 2026 Question: What accommodation does a country seek with those who want to destroy it? I’m not being rhetorical. Response: The first...