Americas

Don’t Expect Too Much From Venezuela’s Elections

The Venezuelan opposition has unexpectedly united around a single candidate: Edmundo Gonzalez. And though this is good news for a movement that has long...

How Different Countries Respond to Terrorism

The fallout from Hamas’ Oct. 7 rampage through Israel and the March 22 massacre at Crocus City Hall near Moscow are dreadful reminders of...

In Upcoming Elections, Mexico Weighs Its Political Future

The biggest question facing Mexico in the upcoming presidential election is how the country can balance democratic governance while also supporting strong centralized authority....

No One Wants Responsibility for Haiti

Though Washington is preoccupied with the war in Ukraine, strained trade relations with China and a potential regional conflict in the Middle East, U.S....

Against Russian Allies in Latin America, the US Makes Its Moves

Last week, Russia laid out a broad strategy and list of priorities for key partners in Latin America. The announcement was precipitated by two...

Washington Remains Committed to Venezuela’s Transition

It’s no secret that the United States wants regime change in Venezuela. Since 2019, Washington has intensified its efforts toward that end by boosting...

The Big Picture of Mexican Exports

Mexico’s economy made headlines late last week when the latest data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that, for the first time in more...

The World in 2024

Editor's note: Below are the compiled links to our entire 2024 annual forecast. Please follow the links for quick navigation, or download the PDF...

How Mexico Plans to Reclaim Its Economy

In Mexico, security and economic recovery are intertwined. Politicians and citizens alike understand that the country’s powerful criminal groups threaten both, and though they...

2024 Annual Forecast: Latin America

Forecasting national behavior is built on continuums. One continuum is a nation’s history. Another is our analytic method. Simply looking at nations will not...

Argentina’s New President Takes a Gamble

Argentine President Javier Milei entered office less than three weeks ago, but already he has introduced a raft of changes beyond the house cleaning...

How New Zealand Could Save the Five Eyes

New Zealand’s new government was elected in October but has already signaled what its foreign policy will look like – and it revolves around...

A Border Dispute Pits US Interests Against Each Other

The leaders of Venezuela and Guyana met on Dec. 14 in St. Vincent and the Grenadines for talks meant to ease tensions along their...

What Argentina’s Presidential Election Really Means

Argentina held a presidential election on Sunday that could be considered a referendum on the national economy. Argentina abounds with natural resources and potential...

Panama’s Post-Canal Economy Takes Shape

Throughout 2023, the Panama Canal Authority has introduced various restrictions on the size and frequency of vessels transiting the canal amid an extended period...

Daily Memo: Gaza Border, US Deployment

Gaza border opens. The Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt has reopened. This comes after the Gaza Borders and Crossings Authority released a...

Latest Posts

Colonial governance, production systems and transportations routes heavily shaped the economic and political development of the region well in to its post-colonial era of independence.

The Western Hemisphere has been dominated by the United States since the start of the 20th Century.

South America has struggled to produce a regional leader partly because no single country embodies the necessary qualities to become one. Brazil has the most potential, thanks to the size of its of territory, population, natural resource deposits and economy. Argentina is a counterweight to Brazilian influence in.

The modern governments are actually young and relatively inexperienced democracies. They are still refining their social contracts with their citizens.

Read Regional Assessment

Required Reads: The Americas

From our Forecast...

The U.S. will rely on public-private efforts to secure its influence in the region. It will also welcome economic engagements from allied nations like Japan or South Korea.

Americas in our Memos

Continue to the category

More from the Americas

Continue to the category

Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Iranian Outsourcing, Israeli Forces in Rafah

Weapons in Yemen. Iran is building drone and ballistic missile factories in Yemen to avoid targeting by future U.S. and Israeli attacks, Kuwaiti newspaper...

New Strategic Documents Preserve Belarus’ Options

At the end of April, Belarus updated its Military Doctrine and its National Security Concept to respond to urgent security threats, regional volatility and...

Daily Memo: Russian Drills, Xi in France

Russian response. Russia announced that it will hold drills simulating the use of tactical nuclear weapons after France and the United Kingdom made comments...

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now