HomeBrief

Brief

Brief: The Implications of Ethiopian Unrest

Background: In Ethiopia, regional administrative divisions are drawn largely along ethnic lines, so political unrest, too, tends to be defined by these divisions, often...

Brief: Turkey Considers a Partial Withdrawal From Syria

Background: Since 2016, Turkey has had a firm foothold in northern and western Syria, in part by supporting Sunni rebel militias. Its presence there...

Brief: Russia Sees an Opportunity in Ukraine

Background: Ukraine is a crucial buffer state for Russia, which lost some influence in the country after the Maidan revolution brought to power an...

Brief: Egypt and Sudan Enter Ethiopian Dam Talks

Background: Egypt and Sudan have been entrenched in a tense standoff over water, their shared border and the partition of Sudan for years. But...

Brief: Why the US Wants to Give F-35s to the UAE

Background: The United States has helped Israel maintain its military superiority in the Arab-Israeli conflict for about as long as there has been an...

Brief: The Beginning of the End of the U.S.-Korean Alliance?

Background: A variety of issues cast doubt on the future of the U.S.-South Korea alliance. Among them are North Korea’s nuclear program; Washington’s insistence...

Brief: India Strengthens Its Grip in Peripheral Regions

Background: One of India’s strategic challenges is that it governs a large area with extremely diverse inhabitants. The current government has tried to meet...

Brief: The US Tries and Fails to Bring Peace to Nagorno-Karabakh

Background: The fighting over Nagorno-Karabakh, an enclave in Azerbaijan controlled by the local ethnic Armenian population, has continued despite several cease-fire attempts brokered by...

Brief: After the Ultimatum in Belarus

Background: Belarus remains unstable. Neither President Alexander Lukashenko nor the political opposition has much of an advantage. An ultimatum set by Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the...

Brief: Russia and Ukraine Sit Down to Discuss Trade

Background: The Kremlin has in recent years used all the tools at its disposal to regain lost influence over the post-Soviet republics. In Ukraine,...

Brief: The US Eyes a Settlement Over Nagorno-Karabakh

Background: Russia and Turkey support opposing sides in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, a predominantly Armenian enclave inside Azerbaijan where fighting flared last month. Moscow...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now