Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Trump’s Ultimatum to Iran

War is looming between the United States and Iran at a time when the...

Global Growth Expected to Slow in 2026

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(click to enlarge) According to the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects report, the global economy in 2025 demonstrated greater resilience than expected, given trade tensions...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...

The Growing Crisis in Cuba

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(click to enlarge) This week, Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel warned citizens of the need to sacrifice as adjustments are made in energy and food distribution...

Uneven Growth Continues to Plague Europe

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(click to enlarge) Gross domestic product in the European Union grew 0.4 percent in the third quarter of 2025 relative to the previous quarter, demonstrating...

Latest Analysis

The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

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I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future Feb. 16, 2026 Question: Although the Europeans have some nuclear...

Taiwan at the Center of a Fragile US-China Rapprochement

On Monday, U.S. President Donald Trump said he was discussing the issue of arms...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Turkey’s Expanding Influence Around the Mediterranean and Red Sea

Partly propelled by its own strategic ambitions and partly facilitated by the shifting global...

Shipbuilding: A Bellwether for Geopolitical Power

Geopolitical power today is built not only through armies and alliances but through geoeconomic...

Preparing for the Long War

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine forced European governments to confront a problem they long thought...

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future

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Representatives from more than 115 countries gathered over the weekend for the annual Munich...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

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I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Turkey’s Expanding Influence Around the Mediterranean and Red Sea

Partly propelled by its own strategic ambitions and partly facilitated by the shifting global posture of the United States, Turkey is methodically expanding its...

Daily Memo: Russia-Cuba Talks, Nuclear Weapons in Europe

Long-time allies. Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez arrived in Moscow to meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. Following their meeting, Lavrov called on...

Shipbuilding: A Bellwether for Geopolitical Power

Geopolitical power today is built not only through armies and alliances but through geoeconomic power – the control of industrial systems, supply chains, technologies...

Daily Memo: Ukrainian Advance, Polish Nuclear Ambitions

Recapturing territory. Ukrainian forces last week took control of 200 square kilometers (77 square miles) of territory from the Russian army, their most successful...

Preparing for the Long War

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine forced European governments to confront a problem they long thought obsolete: sustaining manpower in prolonged, high-intensity war. At the outset...

Threats to New US-Canada Bridge

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(click to enlarge) Canada finds itself in a difficult position when it comes to its two largest trading partners, the U.S. and China. Ottawa and...