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Daily Memo: Thai-Cambodian Clashes, Coup Attempt in Benin

Renewed fighting. Thailand and Cambodia have accused each other of violating a U.S.-brokered ceasefire...

Latest Analysis

Introducing a Military Game-Changer

Energy transitions tend to presage changes in military power. Steam engines freed fleets from...

George Answers Your Questions: On America’s Reliability, Immigration and Education

Note: A reminder to send in questions and comments for George to answer. He...

America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

Kazakhstan’s Strategic Breakout: The Abraham Accords as a Route to the High Seas

Kazakhstan’s decision last month to join the Abraham Accords carries strategic implications that extend...

For Israel and Saudi Arabia, Normalization Is No Longer a Priority

During a meeting at the White House on Nov. 18, U.S. President Donald Trump...

A New Jihadist Hub in Africa

Nigeria and Mali are at the center of what is fast becoming the world’s...

The Peculiar Economics of the Black Sea Borderland

In moments of geopolitical transition, borderlands are often the harbingers of new economic orders....

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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The National Security Strategy of the United States of America

The White House on Dec. 5 released a 33-page document defining American national strategy. The document can be found here, and both friends and...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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