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Daily Memo: Germany Devises Plan to Increase Troop Numbers

Future conscription? Germany’s coalition government has announced a plan to boost its military recruitment...

Latest Analysis

A New Map of the Arctic

U.S. lawmakers are reportedly moving this week to formally establish a senior diplomatic role...

Syria, Gaza and the Shifting Middle Eastern Order

Early this week, U.S. President Donald Trump welcomed Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa at the...

America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

The Philippines Courts Defense Alliances

The Philippines has taken significant steps to expand its security partnerships in recent months....

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine

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Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump met in Washington with the leaders of Kazakhstan,...

The UAE’s Role in the Sudanese Civil War

Sudan is an unviable country because it is home to 570 tribes, 57 ethnic...

George Answers Your Questions: The Legality of Boat Strikes

Question: Some liberal sources have been screaming that President Donald Trump is committing "war...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Vast Borders, US Intelligence on Drug Smuggling

Russia’s Issues Beyond Ukraine Nov. 11, 2025 Question: Why do you conclude with the statement that Russia has neither the ability nor interest to act on...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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