Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US-Iran Escalation, Cuba on the Brink

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
External input. The Trump administration held meetings with senior Israeli and Saudi officials in...
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Weekly Graphic

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Europe

Uneven Growth Continues to Plague Europe

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Gross domestic product in the European Union grew 0.4 percent in the third quarter of 2025 relative to the previous quarter, demonstrating...
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Europe

Greenland’s Past and Future

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In the coming weeks, U.S., Danish, Greenlandic and NATO officials will meet to discuss a possible deal regarding the future of Greenland....
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Middle East and North Africa

How Demographics Complicate Iran’s Situation

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In Iran, a prolonged period of high inflation has combined with a collapse in the value of the rial to produce mass...
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Americas

Latin American Reactions to Maduro’s Capture

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Reactions in Latin America to the United States’ detention of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro have been divided. In several countries – including...
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Latest Analysis

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Daily Memo: Iran’s IRGC Set to Launch Drills

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Iranian preparations. The naval forces of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps will conduct live-fire...
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The Southern Flank Unraveled: Russia’s Grip Loosens in Eurasia

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
A profound geopolitical realignment is unfolding at the heart of Eurasia as the influence...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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How Europe Is Re-Routing Globalization

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
On Jan. 27, the European Union and India formally signed a historic free trade...
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To China, Japan Is a Big Threat

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
A meaningful shift is underway in China's view of Japan as a military threat....
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The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine held talks over the weekend in...
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George Answers Your Questions: Personal or Systemic Failings

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Confession: I Can’t Figure Out Trump’s Latest Move Jan. 19, 2026 Question: Why don’t you realize...
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From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

George Friedman -
The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift toward the North Korean and Iranian models of instability, propped...
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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine held talks over the weekend in Dubai on ending the war in Ukraine. There’s evidence to...
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George Answers Your Questions: Personal or Systemic Failings

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Confession: I Can’t Figure Out Trump’s Latest Move Jan. 19, 2026 Question: Why don’t you realize Donald Trump is a mentally unbalanced narcissist and therefore his...
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Greenland’s Past and Future

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EuropeGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) In the coming weeks, U.S., Danish, Greenlandic and NATO officials will meet to discuss a possible deal regarding the future of Greenland....
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Daily Memo: On Reviving Ukraine Talks

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Renewed dialogue. Ukraine, Russia and the United States will hold talks in Abu Dhabi on Friday, the first trilateral dialogue since Russia’s full-scale invasion...
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The Return of the Nation-State in the Middle East

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
During the Cold War, nation-states thrived throughout the Middle East, but the Soviet Union’s collapse in 1991 ushered in an era of intense instability...
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Why US-China Relations Will Define the Next Generation (2026 Forecast Preview)

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VideoGeopolitical Futures -
Earlier this month, Geopolitical Futures released its annual Forecast, which focuses on the most critical changes to the international order in the year to come. One of the featured predictions in this year's Forecast was on the shifting relationship between the United States and China. It is a relationship that GPF Chairman George Friedman believes will define the next generation of international relations. This week on Talking Geopolitics, George joined host Christian Smith to give a preview of this forecast, and we'll even dive into the perplexing logic of Donald Trump's will-he, won't-he attempt to take ownership of Greenland from Denmark, a NATO ally.
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