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Daily Memo: Understandings and Defenses

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Toward an economic understanding. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi spoke with U.S. Secretary of...
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Weekly Graphic

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Americas

Global Economic Trends

Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...
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Analysis

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...
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Middle East and North Africa

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...
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Middle East and North Africa

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...
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Latest Analysis

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George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

Analysis George Friedman -
The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent on money from oil sales and supplies from China. If...
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Global Economic Trends

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it...
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What Kind of Regime Will Emerge From the Iran War?

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
The biggest question raised by the war in Iran is not how the conflict...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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Japan’s Evolving Security Posture

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
Earlier this month, Japan announced that it will allow the sale of lethal weapons...
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Turkey’s Ascent From Dependence to Autonomy

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Situated at the intersection of the Black Sea, the eastern Mediterranean and the Middle...
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A Century of Lebanese-Israeli Talks Without Peace

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
For a century, Lebanese-Israeli negotiations have failed to bring about peace. Since its founding...
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The Iran War and How It Might End

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The U.S.-Israel war against Iran was to a great extent predictable. The United States...
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From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

George Friedman -
The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent on money from oil sales and supplies from China. If...
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The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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Forecasts

Press Room

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

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ClubGPF Pod+ Clip: Looking Through a GeoEconomic Lens

PodcastGeopolitical Futures -
How do global economic structures help nations maintain internal stability while projecting strategic power? In this exclusive clip of our latest ClubGPF’s Podcast+ episode, Senior Analyst and Chief GeoEconomist Antonia Colibasanu joins host Christian Smith for a primer on geoeconomics, a discussion on the statecraft at play at the Strait of Hormuz and in US tariff policy, and to introduce Geopolitical Futures’ new product, GeoEconomic Lens.
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Daily Memo: North Korea-Russia Ties, UAE Defense

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Growing relationship. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met separately with Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov and State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin in Pyongyang...
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The Iran War and How It Might End

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The U.S.-Israel war against Iran was to a great extent predictable. The United States feared Iran becoming a nuclear power. Israel feared that as...
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George Answers Your Questions: Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order April 20, 2026 Question: Isn't another supporting argument "securing" the symbiotic relationship between Australia's natural resources and Japan's industrial...
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Daily Memo: EU Announces New Sanctions on Russia

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Expanded list. The European Union approved its 20th round of sanctions against Russia. The package expands restrictions on Russian oil shipments, adding 46 tankers...
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China Faces Growing Internal Pressure

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
By Dr. Lamont Colucci U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are expected to meet in person later this spring, after a brief...
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