Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: On Security in Syria

Americas Geopolitical Futures -
Israeli terms. Israel has reportedly presented Syria with a proposal for a new security...
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Weekly Graphic

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Weekly Graphic

Energy Assets in the Caspian Sea

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) For decades, uncertainty over whether the Caspian was a lake or a sea – and the resulting treaty disputes – chilled investment...
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Weekly Graphic

Global Investment Keeps Falling

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(click to enlarge) According to the U.N. Trade and Development organization, global foreign direct investment (FDI) dropped 11 percent in 2024. Much of the decline...
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Middle East and North Africa

Turkey Eyes Breakthrough in Eastern Mediterranean Standoff

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(click to enlarge) Libya’s eastern parliament is preparing to vote on ratifying a maritime deal that its rivals in western Libya signed with Turkey in...
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Americas

An All-Time High in Cocaine Production

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(click to enlarge) More than synthetic drugs and many plant-based drugs, cocaine production is shaped by geography. Coca, the plant from which cocaine is produced,...
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Latest Analysis

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Could Turkey and Pakistan Become Israel’s Next Targets?

AnalysisHilal Khashan -
In 1978, Israel and Egypt signed the Camp David Accords, and a decade later,...
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The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Turkey’s Evolution

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
The Anatolian Peninsula was once the center of one of the most powerful empires...
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America in Transition

From disruption to reconstruction.

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George Answers Your Questions: Leaders and Poland’s Demographics

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
George Friedman’s Note to Readers on New Series: “The 2020s and Its Historic Shift” Sept....
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The Meaning of Russia’s Drone Incursion Into Poland

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu, Andrew Davidson -
On Sept. 9, Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace during a wider strike on...
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US Middle East Strategy After Israel’s Doha Strike

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
Israel’s airstrikes targeting Hamas leaders in the Qatari capital represent an escalation with far-reaching...
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How Long Will China Support North Korea?

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
On Sept. 3, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un appeared side by side with...
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The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Turkey’s Evolution

George Friedman -
The Anatolian Peninsula was once the center of one of the most powerful empires in history. The Ottoman Empire lasted from the 14th century...
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The international order is about to get less orderly.

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The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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The Meaning of Russia’s Drone Incursion Into Poland

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu, Andrew Davidson -
On Sept. 9, Russian drones crossed into Polish airspace during a wider strike on Ukraine, forcing Warsaw to close airports, scramble defenses and shoot...
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Daily Memo: Doha’s Response, US-Belarus Talks

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Qatari defiance. Qatar’s Foreign Ministry condemned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s comments accusing Doha of “harboring terrorists” after Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in...
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US Middle East Strategy After Israel’s Doha Strike

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
Israel’s airstrikes targeting Hamas leaders in the Qatari capital represent an escalation with far-reaching strategic consequences. The attack in Doha blindsided the U.S., exacerbated...
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George Friedman on Israel’s Attack on Hamas in Qatar, a US Ally

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In what could prove to be a pivotal moment for the Middle East, Israel has bombed Hamas leaders in Qatar. It is the first time Israel has struck in Qatar, a nation that is a close ally with the U.S. In the immediate aftermath, GPF Chairman George Friedman gives his reaction. Why has Benjamin Netanyahu ordered this significant move? What does it say about Israel’s wider strategy? And what does it mean for US-Israeli relations, Donald Trump and his Abraham Accords?
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Daily Memo: Israel’s Strike in Qatar and the Regional Fallout

AnalysisGeopolitical Futures -
Targeting Hamas. Israel on Tuesday carried out an attack on Hamas leaders in Qatar. The strike involved 15 fighter jets launching 10 munitions against...
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How Long Will China Support North Korea?

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
On Sept. 3, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un appeared side by side with Chinese President Xi Jinping at a military parade in Beijing....
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