Daily Memo
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Daily Memo: Putin’s Approval Ratings Take a Hit

Russian attitudes. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s approval rating continues to decline. According to a...

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...

Global Disruption at the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) After the Iranian blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, traffic fell to an average of just six ships per day, compared with...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Latest Analysis

Hungary’s Landmark Election

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(click to enlarge) Parliamentary elections in Hungary on April 12 marked an end to the 16-year rule of Viktor Orban and his Fidesz party. Peter...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which...

Pakistan’s Emerging Role in the Middle East

One of the more overlooked consequences of the Iran war is the emergence of...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by...

Hungary and Europe

Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election...

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

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All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals,...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Hungary and Europe

Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...

Daily Memo: Developments in the Middle East

Hormuz blockade. The United States will begin a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz on April 13, President Donald Trump announced over the weekend....

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

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All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...

The Future of the Strait of Hormuz

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(click to enlarge) The Strait of Hormuz is technically open but operationally constrained, functioning as a de facto Iranian-controlled bottleneck rather than a free transit...

Daily Memo: Israel Agrees to Talks With Lebanon

Israeli concession. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Thursday that he authorized direct negotiations with Lebanon to be held “as soon as possible.”...