Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Iran Makes Preparations

New developments. Iran is stationing additional military personnel and air defense systems on Kharg...

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

EU Economies Can’t Catch a Break

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(click to enlarge) The European economy failed to sustain its modest momentum in the fourth quarter of 2025, with growth slowing to 0.2 percent compared...

Disrupted Oil Operations in the Persian Gulf

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(click to enlarge) Though oil prices have surged since the start of fighting in the Middle East, investors are still hopeful that the war will...

The Chokepoint at the Center of the US-Iran Standoff

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(click to enlarge) Brent crude prices have risen modestly in recent weeks, climbing into the low $70s after several months of relative stability. The move...

Latest Analysis

Disinformation: A New Battlespace for Democracy

Democracies are inherently ill-prepared to deal with the proliferation of information warfare. While state-sponsored propaganda is by no means new, the digital age has...

How Iran Is Repricing Geography

Last week, the International Maritime Organization submitted a proposal to protect shipping in the...

Lebanon on the Brink of Civil War

Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem recently asserted that the Iranian-backed Shiite group will defend Lebanon...

The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the...

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a...

Conditions for US-Russia Rapprochement Fall Into Place

Seven months after the historic Alaska summit between Russia and the United States, the...

Assessing Iran’s Capacity Amid Decapitation and Degradation

In the assessment of U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard on March 18,...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a miscalculation? Trump has repeatedly said this would take 4-5 weeks....

Cuba’s Energy Crisis

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(click to enlarge) Cuba's energy crisis has been going on for years but is now taking on a geopolitical dimension. The country's electricity infrastructure has...

Daily Memo: Belarusian Fertilizers, US-Japan Relations

Belarusian rapprochement. The U.S. will remove sanctions on two key Belarusian fertilizer producers amid disruptions in global supplies related to the Iran war. The...

Conditions for US-Russia Rapprochement Fall Into Place

Seven months after the historic Alaska summit between Russia and the United States, the time may finally be right for a rapprochement. In a...

Daily Memo: Strikes on Iran’s Navy, US Mulls Sending Reinforcements

Escalation. Israel carried out its first strike on Iranian targets in the Caspian Sea. Five Iranian navy vessels were reportedly hit in the attack...

Assessing Iran’s Capacity Amid Decapitation and Degradation

In the assessment of U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard on March 18, three weeks of sustained bombardment by U.S. and Israeli forces...