Oct. 18, 2017 There are hints that the two sides may be getting closer to an accommodation over Ukraine.
Oct. 17, 2017 They voted for independence, but the major players in the region don’t want them to have it.
Oct. 16, 2017 Either through alliance or conquest, Russia is an alternative to the U.S. and EU.
Oct. 13, 2017 Islamist groups like al-Qaida and the Islamic State see this region as a fertile recruiting ground.
Oct. 12, 2017 If Kim has a deliverable nuke and believes an attack is imminent, now would be the time for…
Oct. 11, 2017 Moscow’s policy isn’t about becoming a leader in the region but accumulating influence to use closer to home.
Oct. 10, 2017 To Beijing’s benefit, the current standoff indirectly involves Taiwan, much like the Korean War did.
Oct. 9, 2017 Baghdad has reached out to some unexpected partners.
Oct. 6, 2017 The logic that bound the U.S. to Saudi Arabia and Pakistan no longer exists.
Oct. 5, 2017 The days when the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was the most important one for Arab states are over.
Oct. 4, 2017 Independence usually has to be won with the sword after it has been declared with the pen.
Oct. 3, 2017 The kingdom may not be ready for the recent social reforms adopted by the royal family.
Oct. 2, 2017 Subsidies and price controls may soon be a thing of the past.
Sept. 29, 2017 Catalonia’s referendum is an existential threat to Spain as we know it.
Sept. 28, 2017 There are early indicators that Russia and the U.S. may settle for neutrality in Kiev right now.
Sept. 27, 2017 It’s unclear just how much damage North Korea can inflict on Seoul.
Sept. 26, 2017 The recent election results show that nationalism is on the rise.
Sept. 25, 2017 Beijing’s options to manage its economic problems appear increasingly limited.
Sept. 22, 2017 Turkey has invested a lot in the Iraqi Kurds, and it isn’t about to throw it away.
Sept. 21, 2017 Russia is playing a weak hand, but it is playing it very well.
Sept. 20, 2017 If Turkey doesn’t fill the void in northwest Syria, someone else will.
Sept. 19, 2017 In its attempt to deal with the threat from Pyongyang, the U.S. is facing another obstacle: South…
Sept. 18, 2017 Its defiance probably won’t amount to much though.
Sept. 5, 2017 Lost in most reporting is how a nuclear North Korea would reshape the balance of power in…
Sept. 14, 2017 Investors are finding ways to sidestep government measures to rein in the real estate market.
Sept. 13, 2017 This fractured country is used to pry China and the U.S. away from their regional interests.
Sept. 12, 2017 Budapest has taken small but notable steps to realign with Washington.
Sept. 11, 2017 America is still living with the terror of 9/11, no matter how much we try to put it…
Sept. 8, 2017 By signing a new nuclear weapons ban, Stockholm would be giving up U.S. and NATO security cooperation.
Sept. 7, 2017 The embattled Rohingya are caught in the crosshairs of a larger power struggle.
Sept. 6, 2017 While everyone watches North Korea, these are the stories that caught our attention.
Sept. 1, 2017 Riyadh won’t surrender this power easily – even when faced with low oil prices and its own waning…
Aug. 31, 2017 Between China and the U.S., the Philippines has little room to act in its self-interest.
Aug. 30, 2017 Monday’s missile test, and the responses to it, suggest the sides haven’t stopped talking.
Aug. 29, 2017 Moscow is fighting back in a familiar arena: the Caucasus.
Aug. 28, 2017 We can’t assume Pyongyang and Washington understand exactly what the other wants and fears.
Aug. 25, 2017 With the worst of its crisis over, Turkey is ready to face the chaos around it.
Aug. 24, 2017 It is easier to hold talks than to reach a settlement. And it is easier to reach a…
Aug. 23, 2017 The French president has found a scapegoat in temporary laborers from the east.
Aug. 22, 2017 With the way things are going, the country will unravel with or without a U.S. military presence.
Aug. 21, 2017 The limits on a leader’s power – and thus a country’s options – aren’t only external.
Aug. 18, 2017 Nations do not take their national security lightly merely because the threat is far-fetched.
Aug. 17, 2017 Long after the U.S. has left the region, Pakistan will still be living in the shadow of India.
Aug. 16, 2017 Washington and Pyongyang have made their intentions known.
Aug. 15, 2017 With oil prices straining its budget, Riyadh is struggling to project influence abroad.
Aug. 14, 2017 With a number of issues at its doorstep, the U.S. may have to prioritize some interests over others.
Aug. 11, 2017 A bout of political instability may slow Japan’s military normalization, but it will not derail it.
Aug. 10, 2017 New figures show the extent to which rogue debt can imperil Beijing.
Aug. 9, 2017 Factions of the military and civil society are teaming up to challenge the president.
Aug. 8, 2017 Islamist groups don’t become less extreme just because they enter the political mainstream.
Aug. 7, 2017 Like the one before it, the current U.S. administration is finding it difficult to end the war.
Aug. 4, 2017 The group is attracting the sort of attention that will make continued success hard to come by.
Aug. 3, 2017 Moscow is looking to a few key regions to relieve some of the pressure from the U.S.
Aug. 2, 2017 Even a crisis as fraught as Venezuela’s will eventually pass. But what happens then?
Aug. 1, 2017 South Korea and Japan are both under threat, albeit differently.
July 31, 2017 The threat of war on the Korean Peninsula has shifted dynamics between the world’s two largest economies.
July 28, 2017 Sanctions can achieve little on their own and might actually make a situation worse.
July 27, 2017 Threats may be its only option, but there’s a cost to perpetual coercion.
July 26, 2017 The bloc’s member states can’t agree on how to approach expanded U.S. sanctions against Moscow.
July 25, 2017 A treaty with the semi-autonomous republic of Tatarstan has become a tool of Moscow’s retribution.
July 24, 2017 The bloc has become an authoritarian regime insisting that it is the defender of liberal democracy.
July 21, 2017 The Shiite-Sunni struggle itself is the direct result of the Sunnis’ own divisions.
July 20, 2017 In geopolitics, nice gestures and money don’t make the world turn.
July 19, 2017 The most recent chapter of Beijing’s anti-corruption saga is interesting not for what happened but for where…
July 18, 2017 An unforeseen decline in grain yields could have an effect on the country’s economy and social stability.
July 17, 2017 Trump has failed to increase his support beyond his base.
July 14, 2017 The Brazilian case shows that these cases can have a spillover effect.
July 13, 2017 Beijing’s establishing a military base in Djibouti is mostly just for show.
July 12, 2017 The fight against the Islamic State is far from over.
July 11, 2017 It rarely ends well when secular Muslim autocracies employ religion for political purposes.
July 10, 2017 Pyongyang has successfully portrayed itself as unpredictable and dangerous.
July 7, 2017 Expansion makes sense for a grouping this ambitious.
July 6, 2017 Beijing’s move to open its bond markets is a sign of weakness.
July 5, 2017 Leaders overstate how much their relationships define national agendas.
July 4, 2017 These are hardly the most trying times in U.S. history.
July 3, 2017 The United States didn’t fully form until after the Civil War, which turned at the Battle of…
June 30, 2017 Hindu nationalism is filling the void, and jihadism may not be far behind.
June 29, 2017 Seoul will push the U.S. to exhaust all options before it will risk everything on war.
June 28, 2017 Italian bank bailouts have validated concerns over the bank’s ineffectiveness.
June 27, 2017 Jihadists don’t want their kids to contract polio either.
June 26, 2017 What happens if Assad can no longer hide behind just being better than the alternatives?
June 23, 2017 Jihadism in Marawi is actually a good thing for U.S. strategy in Asia.
June 22, 2017 The kingdom is resilient, but it has never faced such daunting challenges.
June 21, 2017 The U.S. is telling the Chinese that the time to act is now.
June 20, 2017 Its enemies can’t fight it when they’re fighting each other.
June 19, 2017 With the U.S. and North Korea, neither side seems capable of capitulating.
June 16, 2017 Rate hikes prove that the Fed understands the economic patterns of the past 70 years.
June 15, 2017 Moscow wants to sow seeds of domestic political turmoil in the United States.
June 14, 2017 The bloc wants stronger regulations, and London will likely abide.
June 13, 2017 The U.S. is one of the few countries that can help break the siege of Marawi.
June 12, 2017 Simply saying you want to be free, historically, has never been enough.
June 9, 2017 The region is going through a period of change and realignment.
June 8, 2017 Its strategy is changing, and our model must change with it.
June 7, 2017 Trump’s decision to pull out of the deal doesn’t indicate a waning U.S. presence in the world.
June 6, 2017 The recent diplomatic row proves that Riyadh is struggling to maintain Arab unity.
June 5, 2017 The U.S. is hoping for a diplomatic solution but isn’t counting on one.
June 2, 2017 Jihadist groups have invoked the Islamic holiday’s history to further their agendas.
June 1, 2017 A few months isn’t enough time for a serious renegotiation of a major trade deal.
May 31, 2017 The U.S. plans to use these tactics to defeat the Islamic State and radical Islamism.
May 30, 2017 The alliance lacks a common threat and is now more focused on its political role.
May 29, 2017 All the signs are there: The U.S. is telling North Korea, in no uncertain terms, that war is…
May 26, 2017 The Kremlin wants to appear influential in an issue that has great consequence for the U.S.
May 25, 2017 Two seemingly unrelated events will affect the regional balance of power.
May 24, 2017 The attack in Manchester highlights some basic truths about the Islamic State.
May 23, 2017 There are signs that military action on the Korean Peninsula is increasingly likely.
May 22, 2017 Trusting an agency to tell the lies it must is a tough enough sell in a democracy.
May 19, 2017 The country’s economic problems make it increasingly vulnerable to outside influences.
May 18, 2017 Kadyrov’s plan to stay in power while Russia’s backing is unreliable could accelerate his government’s demise.
May 17, 2017 Washington is running as the Founders intended. In the short term, that’s bad for the country.
May 16, 2017 The government’s options for surviving this year are dwindling.
May 15, 2017 A system whose security depends on an absence of carelessness is a system designed to fail.
May 12, 2017 Putin must choose between trying to save the economy and saving himself.
May 11, 2017 A departure in Middle East policy may compel us to adjust our forecast.
May 10, 2017 The country is a test case for Washington’s balance-of-power strategy.
May 9, 2017 Gone are the days when Riyadh could dictate oil prices by itself.
May 8, 2017 Buffett’s approach to investing shares similarities with our forecasting model.
May 5, 2017 Thailand and the United States have long shared similar interests in the region.
May 4, 2017 President Rodrigo Duterte and his nation are being courted by two major powers.
May 3, 2017 Donald Trump is not crazy for wanting to meet with Kim Jong Un or Rodrigo Duterte.
May 2, 2017 Hamas’ new charter seeks to soften the group’s tone.
May 1, 2017 Pyongyang has been pursuing a consistent strategy for decades.
April 28, 2017 In 2010, a fruit vendor put Tunisia on the world’s stage when he lit himself on fire.
April 27, 2017 Sen. Joseph McCarthy’s tactics are now being used against another group.
April 26, 2017 Economic reforms may not be possible because of the political sacrifice they entail.
April 25, 2017 Moscow hopes to address some of its banking sector woes with new technology.
April 24, 2017 Europe’s future hangs on the nation-state’s ability to respond to the concerns of individuals.
April 21, 2017 The two countries need each other, but their interests are diverging.
April 20, 2017 China’s position changes from fomenting conflict to negotiating peace in Myanmar.
April 19, 2017 Political leaders are giving up their power to popular votes with predictable results.
April 18, 2017 Muslim-majority nations will struggle with the role of religion in politics for a long time to come.
April 17, 2017 A struggle between two segments of Turkish society is emerging.
April 14, 2017 Constraints have provoked significant changes in Trump administration policies.
April 13, 2017 Moscow needs Minsk on its side.
April 12, 2017 Is North Korea as dependent on China as everyone assumes?
April 11, 2017 Regardless of the result, Turkey will continue rising as a regional power.
April 10, 2017 What a president wants and what he must do are two different things.
April 7, 2017 Are the North Koreans approaching the red line or bluffing?
April 6, 2017 A GPF conference put a spotlight on some of the key events in the world today.
April 5, 2017 The formation of a “Muslim NATO” may actually encourage jihadism.
April 4, 2017 Moscow is trying to maintain an image of strength.
April 3, 2017 Forces are converging to push the Nicolás Maduro government to the brink.
March 31, 2017 The West is fighting Islamist radicals on both the military and ideological battlefield.
March 30, 2017 The consequences for the U.K. have less to do with the EU than with Scotland.
March 29, 2017 We explain how South America and sub-Saharan Africa fit into the GPF model.
March 28, 2017 Sunday’s nationwide protests signal that Vladimir Putin’s administration could be in trouble.
March 27, 2017 The president can achieve little on his own.
March 24, 2017 Optics cannot overcome the will to fight.
March 23, 2017 Such events force us to think of how close we came to being in the wrong place at…
March 23, 2017 A meeting between the U.S. and Chinese presidents is more important than a NATO summit.
March 22, 2017 Conflicting regional and international forces are vying for control.
March 21, 2017 Officials are striking a calmer tone but will this affect relations?
March 20, 2017 Between Machiavelli and Ricardo, one of them had a bad weekend.
March 17, 2017 A class struggle is emerging in Euro-American society.
March 16, 2017 Al-Qaida is poised to take advantage of a weakened Islamic State.
March 15, 2017 Moscow has little to gain from involvement in the country, other than an appearance of power.
March 14, 2017 Prime Minister Narendra Modi may be more effective at centralizing power than previously thought.
March 13, 2017 The country holds a unique position on the Continent.
March 10, 2017 The South China Sea is a sideshow.
March 9, 2017 IS may try to draw in Israel by threatening Amman.
March 8, 2017 Massive geopolitical upheavals often fly under the radar.
March 7, 2017 The new administration in Washington has some questioning the U.S.’ place in the world.
March 6, 2017 More economic pain is on the way.
March 3, 2017 Ankara is challenging Washington’s approach to the Kurds.
March 2, 2017 Russia is weakening while Japan is rising.
March 1, 2017 The kingdom is facing financial strain and looking for new sources of cash.
Feb. 28, 2017 Naval exercises launched this week offer key insights into the country’s view of the region.
Feb. 27, 2017 Both sides are helping each other, whether they know it or not.
Feb. 24, 2017 The honeymoon phase of the Philippines’ opening to China is over.
Feb. 23, 2017 The integral alliance is driven by distinct motives and experienced uniquely by each country.
Feb. 22, 2017 The South American country decommissions its only aircraft carrier.
Feb. 21, 2017 Despite past differences, the two countries are getting closer.
Feb. 20, 2017 Any change that restricts Chinese access to global markets is a threat.
Feb. 17, 2017 Conflict between Muslim groups is nothing new.
Feb. 16, 2017 If all this is true, the Russians have seen a brilliant plan blow up in their faces.
Feb. 15, 2017 IS is fighting for strategic territory and the result will indicate the group’s conventional strength.
Feb. 14, 2017 The reasons being given for his resignation are still unclear.
Feb. 13, 2017 The issues dividing the U.S. and China go beyond the “one China” policy.
Feb. 10, 2017 The global shipping industry hasn’t recovered from 2008, and that’s more bad news for German banks.
Feb. 9, 2017 All the uproar in recent weeks has had little to do with foreign policy.
Feb. 8, 2017 What flare-ups in eastern Ukraine tell us about the conflict.
Feb. 7, 2017 Gen. James Mattis’ recent comments made waves in China, but they do not represent a shift in policy.
Feb. 6, 2017 The news that China has become Germany’s largest trading partner merits a closer look.
Feb. 3, 2017 Personalities aside, both countries need each other.
Feb. 2, 2017 A year after the U.S. agreed to lift sanctions, Iran is recovering its regional influence.
Feb. 1, 2017 As it forges stronger ties in Ukraine, Warsaw is looking more like a regional power.
Jan. 31, 2017 At stake is the stability of Central Asia.
Jan. 30, 2017 The recent phone call between Trump and Putin has set off speculation over where the two countries’ relationship…
Jan. 27, 2017 In many cases, there are better ways to get intelligence.
Jan. 26, 2016 There is a strategy behind Beijing’s recent investments in the Philippines.
Jan. 25, 2017 Here’s how to avoid them.
Jan. 24, 2017 Some have started to openly inquire about how states could exit the monetary union.
Jan. 23, 2017 Few formal peace negotiations actually lead to peace.
Jan. 20, 2017 Taking stock of competition between India, China and the U.S. in the Indian Ocean.
Jan. 19, 2017 The government will reach a breaking point this year.
Jan. 18, 2017 Improving relations with the Taliban gives Moscow the ability to increase its bargaining position in dealings with…
Jan. 17, 2017 Beijing wants to solve its corporate debt problem using free market principles.
Jan. 16, 2017 Was a memo by former MI6 operative Christopher Steele cover for something deeper?
Jan. 13, 2017 The country’s currency struggle is a bump in the road.
Jan. 12, 2017 China’s ambitious infrastructure plans have a long way to go to become a game-changer.
Jan. 11, 2017 Advanced industrialized countries have declining populations and need a way to maintain productivity.
Jan. 10, 2017 Propaganda speaks the language of reason, even when its goal is to mislead.
Jan. 9, 2017 The release of the CIA report may raise more questions than it answers.
Jan. 6, 2017 Islamic State fighters are trying to draw coalition forces away from Mosul.
Jan. 5, 2017 The Chinese president is becoming more direct in his accusations against his opponents.
Jan. 4, 2017 Sanctions and blockades as an alternative to armed conflict would lead to armed conflict.
Jan. 3, 2017 A rough scenario explains why China will not invade Taiwan anytime soon.
Jan. 2, 2017 Editor’s Note: As another year begins with yet another cease-fire in Syria, the disintegration of Middle Eastern states is evident. Therefore,…
Dec. 30, 2016 The Italian banking crisis is not just an Italian problem.
Dec. 29, 2016 Will there ever be a two-state solution?
Dec. 28, 2016 In the near future, Belarus will remain an unofficial region of Russia, whether it wants to or not.
Dec. 27, 2016 The international community’s gestures and edicts will have no real bearing on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Dec. 26, 2016 Editor’s Note: As U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet appointments are announced, many are beginning to see China as…
Dec. 23, 2016 Warsaw has increasingly focused on defense and regional partnerships.
Dec. 22, 2016 The anti-Islamic State coalition is getting bogged down.
Dec. 21, 2016 The concept of nationalism in the modern world remains largely misunderstood.
Dec. 20, 2016 The Arab monarchy’s short-term stability could be at risk.
Dec. 19, 2016 The U.S. should focus on real power and not fall for bluffs.
Dec. 16, 2016 Beijing is developing its naval capabilities, but to what end?
Dec. 15, 2016 We do the math on the oil price Russia needs to be sustainable.
Dec. 14, 2016 IS’ capture of Palmyra has pulled the cloak back on Russia’s vulnerability.
Dec. 13, 2016 Was Russia meddling in U.S. elections, or is it just politics?
Dec. 12, 2016 Jihadist attacks on minority religious and ethnic groups are part of a deeper strategy to destabilize regimes.
Dec. 9, 2016 Athens and Brussels once again find themselves at an impasse.
Dec. 8, 2016 Division between Kurdish groups makes them unreliable partners for the U.S.
Dec. 7, 2016 Beyond the battles in the streets is a battle over ideas.
Dec. 6, 2016 A shakeup of the political establishment is just getting started.
Dec. 5, 2016 Putting China on the defensive.
Dec. 2, 2016 In many ways, South America remains an outsider looking in.
Dec. 1, 2016 OPEC countries have an agreement on production, but will they abide by it?
Nov. 30, 2016 Are Russia’s banks failing or recovering?
Nov. 29, 2016 Regionalization can reveal much about countries’ economic structure and relative power.
Nov. 28, 2016 His image as a revolutionary is built more on myth than reality.
Nov. 24, 2016 The offensive to retake Mosul is not progressing as well as the media is depicting.
Nov. 23, 2016 The Chinese government is allowing domestic fundraising for Myanmar rebel fighters.
Nov. 22, 2016 As the German chancellor stands for re-election, she must grapple with the rising tide of nationalism.
Nov. 21, 2016 A first glimpse at U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s world.
Nov. 18, 2016 New currency measures are causing long lines and short tempers.
Nov. 17, 2016 Recent votes in the U.S. and U.K. reveal nationalism is evolving into different forms.
Nov. 16, 2016 Hong Kong’s High Court rules vocal pro-independence members should lose council seats.
Nov. 15, 2016 Countries in the borderlands ultimately won’t shift foreign policy to fully embrace Russia.
Nov. 14, 2016 It has attracted criticism, but the system was designed to hold the country together.
Nov. 11, 2016 Donald Trump was a charismatic candidate for the presidency, and he will be a charismatic president.
Nov. 10, 2016 Great leaders did not make history. History made them.
Nov. 8, 2016 Tough talk on a new offensive to take back the Islamic State’s de facto capital.
Nov. 7, 2016 People who have emigrated from Europe share a common experience.
Nov. 4, 2016 A High Court weighs in on Brexit protocol.
Nov. 3, 2016 The U.S. has faced some tough words from foreign leaders of late, but does it matter?
Nov. 2, 2016 Neither side wants war, but both face pressure to retaliate against attacks.
Nov. 1, 2016 While recent protests prompt a drop in short-term production, they won’t affect long-term stability.
Oct. 31, 2016 With one week until election day, the 2016 campaigns are still getting stranger.
Oct. 28, 2016 October has been a busy month for Chinese foreign policy.
Oct. 27, 2016 German businesses are relying less on external funding.
Oct. 26, 2016 Several factors, including Iran, are keeping Turkey from intervening on its southern flank.
Oct. 25, 2016 How one regional parliament blocked a trade deal for the entire EU.
Oct. 24, 2016 Last week’s cyberattack is an indicator of a significant vulnerability.
Oct. 21, 2016 London continues to find strategic value in the Falkland Islands.
Oct. 20, 2016 The country’s relatively strong export numbers won’t last.
Oct. 19, 2016 Normalizing Russian-Turkish relations are unlikely to lead to an understanding on security in the Black Sea region.
Oct. 18, 2016 The city’s religious and ethnic groups are unlikely to unite, even if they are freed from the Islamic…
Oct. 17, 2016 The vice president’s recent warning caused a stir without saying much.
Oct. 14, 2016 The war in Yemen could shut down shipping lanes, which the U.S. can’t afford.
Oct. 13, 2016 Europe needs more than temporary growth to boost its economy.
Oct. 12, 2016 If IS is weak, we must ask, compared to who?
Oct. 11, 2016 With lower stakes, the U.S. and Russia might take riskier actions.
Oct. 10, 2016 The Taliban seem to be overwhelming the government on the battlefield.
Oct. 7, 2016 The conflict taught all sides indispensable lessons.
Oct. 6, 2016 The Philippine president has used some colorful language when speaking of the U.S., but Duterte can’t afford to…
Oct. 5, 2016 Beijing has to keep state-owned firms afloat to avoid massive unemployment.
Oct. 4, 2016 They may be democratic, but they rarely reveal the will of the people.
Oct. 3, 2016 Russia and Saudi Arabia are cooperating as a stopgap measure to buy some time.
Sept. 30, 2016 International institutions offer little help for countries dealing with slowing economies.
Sept. 29, 2016 The prominent Israeli politician was the last of his kind.
Sept. 28, 2016 A president should have faced challenges in life to prepare for the task ahead.
Sept. 27, 2016 The candidates and the audience have thrown decorum by the wayside.
Sept. 26, 2016 It is a sign that, even in Europe, groups are still fighting for self-determination.
Sept. 23, 2016 Sanctions against Russia aren’t working and the U.S. is forced to consider a new approach.
Sept. 22, 2016 The Kremlin is searching for ways to hold the country together in the face of a struggling…
Sept. 21, 2016 Declining U.S. demand for major exporters’ goods could spell disaster.
Sept. 20, 2016 The results of state elections in Berlin may be another indicator of an economic downturn.
Sept. 19, 2016 More pressing issues have taken the place of belt-tightening.
Sept. 16, 2016 Repercussions of the 2008 financial crisis are still being felt today.
Sept. 15, 2016 China says it has lifted 700 million people out of poverty. What does that really mean?
Sept. 14, 2016 Seemingly positive economic news for the U.S. could actually portend a recession.
Sept. 13, 2016 Pyongyang has launched more nuclear tests but it has a long way to go before developing a…
Sept. 12, 2016 The region has changed significantly following the attacks 15 years ago.
Sept. 9, 2016 Presidential candidates have threatened to withdraw from the agreement, but would this really be in their power?
Sept. 8, 2016 The establishment’s view that there is no crisis in the system is leading to surprising election results for…
Sept. 7, 2016 As Maduro loses support and the opposition stares down a deadline, political turmoil in Venezuela could come to…
Sept. 6, 2016 Anti-immigration sentiments are growing stronger to the detriment of mainstream parties.
Sept. 2, 2016 Germany’s two largest banks held talks, causing many to speculate about the future of the ailing banking sector.
Sept. 1, 2016 The shocking visit is a perfect zero-risk, high-reward maneuver for Trump.
Aug. 31, 2016 The politics surrounding EU-U.S. free trade negotiations emphasize the divisions in the EU.
Aug. 30, 2016 Those who would fight the Taliban cannot present a united front.
Aug. 29, 2016 The authoritarian Uzbek leader’s hospitalization could mean chaos in the region.
Aug. 26, 2016 Both countries will continue to dance around the disputed islands issue.
Aug. 25, 2016 In geopolitics, sometimes distance makes the heart grow fonder.
Aug. 24, 2016 The EU leaders tried to project unity, despite Italy’s economic malaise.
Aug. 23, 2016 Moscow’s position in the region is not as dominant as it might seem.
Aug. 22, 2016 Beijing’s recent quantum satellite launch gives us a glimpse at the future of secure communications.
Aug. 19, 2016 A recent report that the U.S. moved nuclear weapons from Turkey to Romania bears the hallmarks of disinformation.
Aug. 18, 2016 Germany seems to be softening its stance on what happens after Brexit.
Aug. 17, 2016 Once staunchly anti-Soviet, some conservatives are embracing Putin’s Russia.
Aug. 16, 2016 While Beijing knows it needs to reform state-run companies, political and social factors create serious roadblocks.
Aug. 15, 2016 Berlin’s authority in negotiations with Russia and Turkey is outweighed by the U.S.
Aug. 12, 2016 Moscow appears to be setting up conditions to justify action against Ukraine but its goal is unclear.
Aug. 11, 2016 Amman appears anxious about developments in southern Syria.
Aug. 10, 2016 The two countries seem to be moving closer, but will it last?
Aug. 9, 2016 China has recently been more brazen in provoking Japan.
Aug. 8, 2016 How effective would a nuclear strike be against an enemy like the Islamic State?
Aug. 5, 2016 Turkey has three options for its national strategy moving forward.
Aug. 4, 2016 Though on opposing sides, the pragmatists and ideologues need each other.
Aug. 3, 2016 Its geopolitical reality is not consistent with its categorization as a Latin American country.
Aug. 2, 2016 Deutsche Bank and the Saudi central bank released unnerving statements yesterday.
Aug. 1, 2016 Four major global powers are in the midst of different types of purges.
July 29, 2016 Berlin is trying to enforce the bloc’s rules while also maintaining cohesion between its members.
July 28, 2016 The impression that this election cycle is unique is a common feature in American politics.
July 27, 2016 Leaders of the two countries have recently overlooked some disagreements to emphasize their common interests.
July 26, 2016 Radical Islamism is a movement, not an organization, which makes it much harder to defeat.
July 25, 2016 The Communist Party is trying to ensure it can hold the country together.
July 22, 2016 Short-term outlooks produce misconceptions.
July 21, 2016 Beijing projects an image of strength but its weakness often shapes its polices.
July 20, 2016 Erdoğan is using the coup attempt to reframe Turkey’s relations with Russia.
July 19, 2016 The divide between Islamists and secularists is not as clear as some believe.
July 18, 2016 How did the coup plotters in Turkey avoid being detected?
July 15, 2016 There are growing indications that investments in Brazil are increasing.
July 14, 2016 The South China Sea case proves that laws mean nothing if there is no enforcement mechanism.
July 13, 2016 The EU’s complex bureaucracy has prevented it from dealing with crises effectively.
July 12, 2016 As the bloc disintegrates, member states will become less committed to collective security.
July 11, 2016 The EU’s approach to banks in crisis carries high risk and huge consequences.
July 8, 2016 The Italian banking crisis is not only Italy’s problem.
July 7, 2016 A leader’s potential actions are far more limited than one would think.
July 6, 2016 EU member states are increasingly acknowledging the bloc’s inability to deal with future crises.
July 5, 2016 “Nationalist” and “internationalist” might better describe current politics than “left” and “right.”
July 1, 2016 A crisis in Germany’s largest bank would be felt by financial markets worldwide.
June 30, 2016 After voting against independence two years ago, Edinburgh is now weighing its post-Brexit options.
June 29, 2016 Berlin is willing to sacrifice any part of the EU except the free trade zone.
June 28, 2016 It is in Ankara’s interest to keep Washington on its toes.
June 27, 2016 After Brexit, the EU should not be seen as a model for unity between nation-states.
June 25, 2016 The pro-EU elite never imagined “leave” would win.
June 24, 2016 The United Kingdom has voted to leave the EU.
June 23, 2016 The EU’s future will remain uncertain even after the referendum is over.
June 22, 2016 The two Middle Eastern countries are close to making peace over a 2010 incident.
June 21, 2016 In Central Europe, economic and security interests are more important than ideological struggles with the EU.
June 20, 2016 If the Assad regime was destroyed, what would take its place?
June 17, 2016 While the Soviets shunned religion, Putin has used the Russian Orthodox Church toward geopolitical ends.
June 16, 2016 The anti-corruption campaign expands to politicians’ families as the yuan takes a dip.
June 15, 2016 In confronting terrorism, the U.S. needs to decide whether it is at war and who the enemy…
June 14, 2016 Today’s U.S. deployments in the Middle East look similar to those in 1972 Vietnam.
June 13, 2016 The Obama administration wants to get an agreement on Ukraine before the November elections.
June 10, 2016 The instability in Kazakhstan in recent weeks could spread throughout the region.
June 9, 2016 The two most populous nations have very different relationships with the United States.
June 8, 2016 Over the past few days, Ankara has seemed to relax its stance on Syrian Kurds.
June 7, 2016 Israel’s belief in its military invincibility might be its downfall.
June 6, 2016 As negotiations over Ukraine continue, Moscow is sending a message to the West.
June 3, 2016 The Bundestag’s statement about Armenia is a political tool.
June 2, 2016 Managing Pyongyang’s outbursts is a valuable tool for Beijing in its relationship with Washington.
June 1, 2016 Berlin is performing a balancing act between Moscow and the West.
May 31, 2016 The claims of an increase in fascism in Europe and the U.S. derive from a misunderstanding of the…
May 27, 2016 As other problems divert attention, southern Europe’s banks continue to struggle.
May 26, 2016 Focusing only on casualty numbers ignores the broader context behind the decision to drop the bombs.
May 25, 2016 The U.S. wants to be liked, but knows it is feared.
May 24, 2016 Based on ideology, Washington should not sell weapons to Hanoi, but it is.
May 23, 2016 This strategy has done little to help the U.S. destroy terrorist organizations.
May 20, 2016 Growing indications suggest a new alliance structure is forming.
May 19, 2016 As the rest of Eurasia slides further into crisis, the only thing getting in India’s way is India.
May 18, 2016 Afghanistan is a useful case to consider as Western powers plan to send arms to Libya.
May 17, 2016 The prime minister’s dismissal had more to do with policy than personality.
May 16, 2016 The Chinese Communist Party’s power does not stem from its ideology.
May 13, 2016 The president’s impeachment is indicative of deeper geopolitical issues.
May 12, 2016 What do you do when a source tells you about an imminent coup?
May 11, 2016 Recent polls show growing anti-EU sentiment in some of Europe’s biggest economies.
May 10, 2016 Berehove exemplifies the mingling of people, languages and cultures typical in borderlands.
May 9, 2016 The primary system has produced two extremely disliked presidential candidates.
May 6, 2016 The system protects Eastern Europe from a very improbable threat.
May 5, 2016 Communication may be supplanting actual work.
May 3, 2016 Bin Laden was killed five years ago, but transnational jihadism lives on.
May 2, 2016 Unrest in Central Asia could signal regional destabilization.
April 29, 2016 The national anti-corruption agency has reported that hundreds of statistics bureau employees provided preferential data for a fee.
April 28, 2016 The candidate’s recent remarks opposed not just a specific doctrine, but the idea of doctrines altogether.
April 27, 2016 Keeping the EU together is in the United States’ interest, but it doesn’t have the means or ability…
April 26, 2016 Daimler’s first-quarter report might be a harbinger of bad news for the EU.
April 25, 2016 There is rationality behind the North Koreans’ nuclear program.
April 22, 2016 The EU doesn’t understand, Russia looms large, and the U.S. presidential race spells the beginning of the end.
April 21, 2016 The Czech Republic’s latest metamorphosis won’t be able to save it from its geopolitical fate.
April 20, 2016 The people are still determining the lives they want to lead and the way the government should rule.
April 19, 2016 Despite a lack of fanfare, the United States’ relationship with Romania has become quite strong.
April 18, 2016 While attending a conference in Slovakia, our director of analysis reflects on the future.
April 15, 2016 Recently released data has been celebrated, despite explaining little about the Chinese economy.
April 14, 2016 Post-Enlightenment Europe has replaced its Christian values with secular ones.
April 13, 2016 The Cold War space race was as much about competition as it was self-doubt.
April 12, 2016 Geopolitics dictates that history takes shape regardless of opinions or intentions.
April 11, 2016 The prime minister’s resignation highlights the discord among political factions in Kiev.
April 8, 2016 The two countries have diverging views on boosting their military efforts.
April 7, 2016 Understanding a nation’s strategy requires an unbiased view of its objectives and constraints.
April 6, 2016 Outside of Syria and Iraq, the threat of IS is most potent in Saudi Arabia.
April 5, 2016 The dynamics of the Turkish president’s visit to the U.S. underscore Turkey’s current geopolitical position.
April 4, 2016 The dispute over territory has potential to draw in major powers.
April 1, 2016 Seemingly rash actions can be better understood through empathetic analysis.
March 31, 2016 But recent bilateral talks will not become another Yalta Conference.
March 30, 2016 Islamic State’s capabilities warrant much more scrutiny than its ideology.
March 29, 2016 A military’s role goes beyond fighting wars.
March 28, 2016 The Islamic State’s recent setback is not yet cause for celebration.
March 25, 2016 This week’s attacks in Belgium are a continuation of Muslim-Christian confrontations that began when the Soviet Union fell.
March 24, 2016 The fact that the two conflicts have become intertwined is not a coincidence.
March 23, 2016 Identifying terrorists requires a shift in intelligence methods.
March 22, 2016 Cuba’s location means more to the United States than any government in Havana.
March 21, 2016 Applying a balance of power strategy is easier in the abstract than in practice.
March 18, 2016 In a liberal democracy, the people have the right to vote for illiberal policies.
March 17, 2016 Primary elections lend weight to political extremes.
March 16, 2016 Since Putin announced Russia’s withdrawal, diplomats and media have been unreasonably hopeful about the future of the Syrian…
March 15, 2016 Russia’s true intentions didn’t have much to do with propping up the Assad regime.
March 14, 2016 U.S. strategy demands more of a pirouette than a pivot.
March 11, 2016 The limits of Obama’s office played a significant role in creating his ‘doctrine.’
March 10, 2016 If IS is able to develop such weapons, the U.S. will have to change its strategy.
March 9, 2016 The two nations’ strong relationship has faded along with the Cold War strategies that brought them together in…
March 8, 2016 The complexity of power and family.
March 7, 2016 IS’ position in Syria and Iraq remains strong, despite reports to the contrary.
March 4, 2016 While most joint drills are routine gestures, these signal an interesting shift.
March 3, 2016 A deeper look at how our geopolitical model informs our forecasts.
March 2, 2016 Prices may have risen in the past couple weeks, but the oil crisis is not over.
March 1, 2016 Can an essentially human trait describe a political stance?
Feb. 29, 2016 The U.S. military is taking a $50 billion gamble on predicting the future of warfare.
Feb. 26, 2016 Sometimes the media’s portrayal of an event can be more enlightening than the event itself.
Feb. 25, 2016 Chaos in the Middle East may serve Israel well now, but any solution will create new tensions.
Feb. 24, 2016 The transformation of warfare raises difficult questions when it comes to international laws written for a bygone time.
Feb. 23, 2016 We examine the relationship between law and power in geopolitics.
Feb. 22, 2016 Britain struck an agreement with the EU, but will it help Cameron keep the country in the union?
Feb. 19, 2016 Challenges in all of Russia’s important buffer zones have raised strategic questions for the Kremlin.
Feb. 17, 2016 If it bleeds, it leads – but does it matter?
Feb. 17, 2016 The strategic situation in the Korean Peninsula would be changed little by the deployment of a missile defense…
Feb. 16, 2016 Despite its Catholic majority, the country has a rocky history with the Vatican.
Feb. 15, 2016 The United States worries that divisions among EU member states could affect its relationship with the Continent.
Feb. 12, 2016 As Moscow gains ground in Syria, it is faltering in almost every other state objective.
Feb. 11, 2016 The EU’s six founding members may deepen integration among themselves, while leaving the rest to follow their own paths.
Feb. 10, 2016 Protests during New Year celebrations may not spell trouble for the Communist Party.
Feb. 9, 2016 With the economic downturn now firmly established, it will be important to watch how Beijing responds.
Feb. 8, 2016 Polls are now less reliable in predicting the outcome of elections, as we witnessed after the recent Iowa caucuses.
Feb. 5, 2016 Tensions between the two countries have heightened again, although this is not surprising when viewed in historical context.
Feb. 4, 2016 Incapable of protecting against its main threats on its own, Tokyo is caught between self-reliance and dependency.
Feb. 3, 2016 The deal is supposed to give members more power over EU legislation but does not address the…
Feb. 2, 2016 While much of the world is in a downturn, things may be looking up for Buenos Aires.
Feb. 1, 2016 A radio broadcast from Afghanistan raises the question: Could IS expand into the region?
Jan. 29, 2016 Pacific powers rattle their sabers, but strategic interests will preclude outright combat.
Jan. 28, 2016 The EU so far has not recognized that the Italian banking crisis is a European crisis.
Jan. 27, 2016 The Kremlin wants to rally the public against a common enemy.
Jan. 26, 2016 The interaction between economic doldrums, the refugee crisis and a weakening Russia further complicates European attempts to solve…
Jan. 25, 2016 Few countries are both willing and able to defeat IS and manage the aftermath.
Jan. 22, 2016 While interpretations vary, the definition of corruption ultimately seems to rest on one’s vision of the human soul.
Jan. 21, 2016 The Chinese economy has been declining for years and oil for at least a year. So why did…
Jan. 20, 2016 As bank stocks drop, the rift between Italy and the EU worsens.
Jan. 19, 2016 Moscow finds itself in a familiar predicament.
Jan. 18, 2016 Despite strong rhetoric against the U.S.-Iranian nuclear deal, Israel is as safe as it has ever been.
Jan. 15, 2016 An update on the serious financial problems facing Italy.
Jan. 14, 2016 Despite expectations, both governments quickly and amicably settled a potentially volatile situation.
Jan. 13, 2016 The immigration crisis highlights the European Union’s growing irrelevance in Europe.
Jan. 12, 2016 President Vladimir Putin reaches out as Russia’s economy languishes under depressed oil prices.
Jan. 11, 2016 The media was fixated on China’s stock market meltdown last week, but the broader significance of events such as these…
Jan. 8, 2016 The impact of the export market’s global decline, which was initiated by the 2008 financial crisis, is reverberating through…
Jan. 7, 2016 The North Korean regime has mastered the art of uncertainty to manipulate the world.
Jan. 6, 2016 Why is Beijing preventing Chinese institutions from selling stocks if there is so much foreign investment, and…
Jan. 5, 2016 The decline of oil prices has affected many countries, but has begun to show conspicuously in Saudi…
Jan. 4, 2016 Having failed to pacify Iraq, the United States has moved to a more complex strategy of trying…
Dec. 31, 2015 Sources in China are reporting increased tension between the Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army.
Dec. 30, 2015 To understand the American political system, it is important to grasp how little power the American president…
Dec. 29, 2015 Without knowing the details of the Islamic State’s activities in the weeks and days before the Kurdish-led…
Dec. 28, 2015 The quiet of the past few days gives us an opportunity to explain how we decide whether…
Dec. 24, 2015 Relations between Azerbaijan and the U.S. have recently deteriorated, which could have an impact on American interests in the…
Dec. 23, 2015 The reality is that the Islamic State is retreating from a non-crucial town not integral to its…
Dec. 22, 2015 The most interesting response to the Spanish election results came from the Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi.
Dec. 21, 2015 Europe’s political masters are simply putting off facing extremely significant decisions they know they must make.
Dec. 18, 2015 A regional realignment triggered by the Russians and Islamic State, and beneficial to the United States, is…
Dec. 17, 2015 Sometimes a tiny bit of information on a budget cut in a place like Abkhazia reveals a great…
Dec. 16, 2015 U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov have reached an agreement, but there’s…
Dec. 15, 2015 Why German Chancellor Angela Merkel called multiculturalism a sham and how Europe’s definition is different to the United…
Dec. 14, 2015 While the media is portraying the French election result as an unmitigated disaster for the National Front, we…
Dec. 11, 2015 The Italian banking system is in serious trouble and the failure of these four banks is simply the…
Dec. 10, 2015 German Chancellor Angela Merkel is deserving of Time’s “Person on the Year” award because of the way she…
Dec. 9, 2015 As the strength of many Arab states deteriorates, it may not be possible to think of the Arab…
Dec. 8, 2015 We look at how several key geopolitical developments in Europe, Russia and Latin America yesterday impact Geopolitical Futures’…
Dec. 7, 2015 The group has managed to redefine the region’s borders, suggesting it is far more than just a terrorist…
Dec. 4, 2015 The Danish rejected a series of changes to Denmark’s laws in order to bring it into compliance with…
Dec. 3, 2015 After the sabotage of power lines caused an electricity shortage in Crimea, the Ukrainian government displayed a fairly…
Dec. 2, 2015 Some world leaders, including Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Barack Obama, have recently accused Turkey of…
Nov. 30, 2015 Turkey’s decision to shoot down a Russian warplane drew the country deeper into the Syrian crisis, even though…
Nov. 26, 2015 Ukraine has engaged in a series of retaliatory gestures with Russia that may signal a coming crisis.
Nov. 25, 2015 Many are wondering what compelled the Turks to shoot down a Russian warplane they say entered Turkish air…
Nov. 24, 2015 The election of center-right candidate Mauricio Macri has provoked a sense of optimism about the country’s future.
Nov. 23, 2015 The future of the Middle East will be determined by whether the Islamic State’s military force is more…
Nov. 20, 2015 Far from creating democracies in the Arab world, the Arab Spring ended up being a catalyst for civil…
Nov. 25, 2015 Europe is considering its options following the Islamic State’s attacks on French and Russian targets.
Nov. 19, 2015 Turkey has avoided military intervention in Syria but may now be moving in that direction.
Nov. 18, 2015 Governments and individuals now have to face the difficult question of how to prevent future attacks from happening.
Nov. 17, 2015 French President Francois Hollande reportedly plans to call for an end to free movement of European Union…
Nov. 16. 2015 The terrorist attacks in Paris indicate a new level of sophistication in Islamic State’s planning and coordination.
By Jacob Shapiro
Understanding Geopolitics Starts Here.