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Deep Dive

A thorough, research-driven analysis that updates our forecast.

The Future of German-Chinese Trade: Prospects and Pitfalls
June 21, 2018

With China and Europe increasingly at odds with the U.S. on trade, they may be looking at each other...

Central Asia’s Dangerous Homecoming
June 14, 2018

The Islamic State could make the region its next base.

The Crude Math of Geopolitical Risk
June 7, 2018

The price of oil isn’t arrived at rationally.

Brazil: A History of Military Interventions
May 31, 2018

Could the military intervene again to help Brazil address some of its political and economic woes?

Making Waves: China Pushes Ahead With Its Aircraft Carrier Program
May 24, 2018

Beijing’s unveiling of its second aircraft carrier hints at China’s expanding naval ambitions.

In Europe, as Migration Falls, Nationalism Rises
May 17, 2018

Europe is still struggling to deal with the effects of the refugee crisis.

Gauging the Strength of the Turkish Military
May 10, 2018

Since its founding, the modern Turkish republic has changed dramatically.

Korean Reunification: High Hopes and Higher Hurdles
May 3, 2018

The Koreas would be much stronger together, if they could just overcome everything that’s kept them apart for 70...

The Barriers to Development in Mexico’s Guerrero State
April 26, 2018

The central government has struggled to control Guerrero, one of Mexico’s most violent states.

Uzbekistan’s Inertia
April 19, 2018

Reforms have not liberalized the country as much as some may think.

The Geopolitics of London: Or, How England Joined the World
April 12, 2018

The city was a global financial hub well before the EU, and it will be one well after Brexit.

A Lost Decade Made in China
April 5, 2018

Japan went through many of the same problems decades ago, but the comparison goes only so far.

Beyond the Rhetoric in the Rift Between Poland and Ukraine
March 29, 2018

The dispute over different interpretations of their shared history has resulted in protests and heated debates.