July 20, 2017 Geography dictated that the region would be a loose affiliation of disconnected states, not a coherent bloc.
July 13, 2017 This economic initiative is a political solution, not a commercial enterprise.
July 7, 2017 Six months into the year, we take a look at how our forecasts have held up so far.
June 29, 2017 The fate of Germany’s economy may rest in things Berlin cannot control.
June 22, 2017 Exactly how closely have the two countries helped each other develop their nuclear programs?
June 15, 2017 Geopolitics is rarely a zero-sum game. But in the case of shale oil, it is.
June 8, 2017 What explains the longevity of the Kim dynasty?
June 1, 2017 North Korea’s conventional military capabilities, not its nuclear program, will determine what a potential conflict would look like.
May 25, 2017 Geography and demography work against the government in Tehran.
May 18, 2017 The Southeast Asian nation can provide what many other countries cannot: an alternate trade route to global markets.
May 11, 2017 The region’s future will be shaped by its past.
May 4, 2017 The U.S. has more flexibility with its debt than many other countries have.
April 27, 2017 Mexico prioritizes relationships with South American countries that help support its livelihood and mitigate external threats.
April 20, 2017 Turkey’s influence is rising, but there are limits to its power.
April 13, 2017 The ultraconservative branch of Islam is being pulled in multiple directions.
April 6, 2017 GPF has identified and tracked how the exporters’ crisis has unfolded in what we consider the most vulnerable countries.
March 30, 2017 Britain is decreasing its dependence on EU markets.
March 23, 2017 In tackling non-performing loans, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hopes to centralize political power.
March 16, 2017 The country faces a weakened position and stagnant economy ahead of upcoming elections.
March 9, 2017 The vote will be held amid an economic crisis that will plague the country in the coming…
March 2, 2017 The U.S. will be engaged in military and intelligence operations at the Afghan-Pakistani border for many years.
Feb. 23, 2017 Despite a heavy reliance on its southern neighbor, Canada may benefit from increased protectionism in the U.S.
Feb. 16, 2017 China is walking a fine line to avoid a housing market crash.
Feb. 9, 2017 Despite Trump’s tough talk on Mexico, U.S. states have a different imperative.
Feb. 2, 2017 With the future of NAFTA potentially in jeopardy, the time has come to take a closer look at…
Jan. 26, 2017 Rising tensions between Russia and the West could eventually lead to the region once again being in the…
Jan. 19, 2017 Beijing is courting the Philippines president, but the U.S. has the upper hand.
Jan. 12, 2017 The prime minister’s decision to demonetize India’s currency is as much about centralizing power as economic reform.
Jan. 5, 2017 The demographics argument in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict deserves more scrutiny.
Dec. 29, 2016 Beijing faces a number of constraints.
Dec. 22, 2016 As the year comes to an close, we examine how our forecast for 2016 fared.
Dec. 15, 2016 We examine the three main actors that control territory in Syria.
Dec. 8, 2016 China must have access to U.S. consumer markets, and Donald Trump knows it.
Dec. 1, 2016 The kingdom could face challenges due to economic strains and plunging oil prices.
Nov. 25, 2016 Looking at the evolution of Texas as a borderland reveals underlying tensions between the two countries.
Nov. 16, 2016 Domestic political and economic problems have constrained the country’s influence over other Arab states.
Nov. 11, 2016 Will the new president change the U.S.’ trajectory?
Nov. 3, 2016 The country’s export-driven economy is straining to adapt.
Oct. 27, 2016 The Islamic State faces the possibility of losing its largest stronghold in Iraq.
Oct. 20, 2016 The government is introducing reforms to attract investment.
Oct. 13, 2016 Rising tensions in Kashmir mean the region can no longer be considered stable relative to the rest…
Oct. 6, 2016 The country’s long-term outlook remains strong, though it is facing some challenges in the near term.
Sept. 29, 2016 The most important challenge for Berlin is the division between eastern and western Germany.
Sept. 22, 2016 As external powers jockey for influence, instability is still rife in the divided region.
Sept. 15, 2016 Despite Western backing, the government has been unable to suppress the Taliban and gain control of the country.
Sept. 8, 2016 Instability runs rampant across the Eurasian landmass today at a level unseen since the years leading up…
Sept. 1, 2016 The instability is rooted in internal divisions that the government has failed to address.
Aug. 25, 2016 Though Berlin and Ankara’s relationship is often contentious, they know they need each other.
Aug. 18, 2016 With so many reports circulating, we take a step back to get the whole picture and see what’s…
Aug. 11, 2016 The president needs to fix the economy to ensure support from the Russian people.
Aug. 4, 2016 Those for and against free trade are often motivated by political agendas.
July 28, 2016 Though called “non-governmental,” NGOs often receive significant government funding and may pursue political agendas.
July 21, 2016 Ankara appears in disarray, but the attempted coup is unlikely to prevent it from taking the necessary steps…
July 14, 2016 While the U.S. at first seems fairly shielded from the Continent’s banking problems, a deeper look reveals substantial…
July 7, 2016 Six months into the year, we take a look at how our forecasts have held up so far.
June 29, 2016 The Continent is facing a new reality and a dysfunctional union.
June 22, 2016 As NATO members’ interests disperse, the alliance’s relevance wanes.
June 15, 2016 New countries are inheriting the role of the once-dominant basic manufacturing powerhouse.
June 8, 2016 The Islamic State is under pressure in Iraq and Syria, but its opponents also face great challenges.
June 1, 2016 What will the referendum mean for Britain and the union?
May 15, 2016 A downturn in the German economy would have ripple effects across Europe.