Deep Dive

A thorough, research-driven analysis that updates our forecast.

Brazil’s New Leader Strives to Break Old Patterns
November 8, 2018

Jair Bolsonaro hopes to pull the country out of economic crisis and political scandal with ambitious reform initiatives. It...


A State of Enduring Division in the US
November 1, 2018

To blame the polarization and violence that seem to characterize this moment in American history on one man isn’t...

India’s Own String of Pearls
October 25, 2018

New Delhi is boosting its defense presence across the Indo-Pacific, as Beijing’s footprint also grows.


The US Rivalry With China Gets Closer to Home
October 18, 2018

Beijing’s interest in the Caribbean and Central America has gotten Washington’s attention.

The Predictive Power of Demography
October 11, 2018

History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.


China’s Unity in the Face of a Trade War
October 4, 2018

The economic cost is likely tolerable, but there’s a bigger issue at stake.

Batteries Make the World Go Round
September 27, 2018

The challenges of energy storage are reshaping global competition.


European Muslims: A Demographic Opportunity
September 20, 2018

The future of the EU, and of countries like France and Germany, will be shaped by whether these countries...

The Limits of China’s Debt Trap
September 13, 2018

Can the Belt and Road Initiative really help Beijing expand its military presence?


Coping With Venezuelan Migration
September 6, 2018

South American countries are ill-prepared to deal with the influx of more people.

Idlib, the Latest Frontline in the Syrian Civil War
August 30, 2018

A battle over Idlib poses a threat to all countries involved in the conflict.


Poland’s Population Problem
August 23, 2018

High economic growth will only take the country so far.

Diversifying Mexico’s Export Markets
August 16, 2018

The U.S. trade war is forcing Mexico to re-evaluate its own trade partnerships.