Deep Dive

A thorough, research-driven analysis that updates our forecast.

The UK and France: A Less Cordial Entente?
January 17, 2019

Despite the bumpy road to Brexit, we haven’t seen the end of French and British defense cooperation.


The Third Opium War
January 10, 2019

To understand China’s current confrontation with the West over trade, historical context is key.

In China, Manufacturers Feel the Heat of the Trade War
December 27, 2018

The world’s second-largest economy is embroiled in a trade war. That could change the calculus for firms doing business...


How Brazil Outgrew Mercosur
December 20, 2018

Years of dysfunction in the trade bloc are restricting Brazil’s global ambitions, and it needs a way out.

On US Involvement in the War in Yemen
December 13, 2018

Can Congress really put the brakes on U.S. support for the Saudis in Yemen?


Tracing the Origins of Venezuela’s Crisis
December 6, 2018

The country’s current predicament was centuries in the making.

The Philippines Makes the Most of China’s Interest
November 29, 2018

Manila may be warming to Beijing, but not enough to solve China’s maritime access problems.


Standing on Guard for an Economic Crisis in Canada
November 15, 2018

Canada’s debt is piling up, making it more vulnerable to a recession and less likely to snap out of...

Brazil’s New Leader Strives to Break Old Patterns
November 8, 2018

Jair Bolsonaro hopes to pull the country out of economic crisis and political scandal with ambitious reform initiatives. It...


A State of Enduring Division in the US
November 1, 2018

To blame the polarization and violence that seem to characterize this moment in American history on one man isn’t...

India’s Own String of Pearls
October 25, 2018

New Delhi is boosting its defense presence across the Indo-Pacific, as Beijing’s footprint also grows.


The US Rivalry With China Gets Closer to Home
October 18, 2018

Beijing’s interest in the Caribbean and Central America has gotten Washington’s attention.

The Predictive Power of Demography
October 11, 2018

History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.