Deep Dive

A thorough, research-driven analysis that updates our forecast.

European Muslims: A Demographic Opportunity
September 20, 2018

The future of the EU, and of countries like France and Germany, will be shaped by whether these countries...


The Limits of China’s Debt Trap
September 13, 2018

Can the Belt and Road Initiative really help Beijing expand its military presence?

Coping With Venezuelan Migration
September 6, 2018

South American countries are ill-prepared to deal with the influx of more people.


Idlib, the Latest Frontline in the Syrian Civil War
August 30, 2018

A battle over Idlib poses a threat to all countries involved in the conflict.

Poland’s Population Problem
August 23, 2018

High economic growth will only take the country so far.


Diversifying Mexico’s Export Markets
August 16, 2018

The U.S. trade war is forcing Mexico to re-evaluate its own trade partnerships.

Rebalancing China and Bracing for the Trade War
August 9, 2018

The only thing more ambitious than Beijing’s goals is its time frame.


Serbian Nationalism: Identity Out of Necessity
August 2, 2018

A shared objective – expelling the Ottomans – gave rise to a truly single national identity.

Poverty and Security in Russia
July 26, 2018

For Moscow, some regions are more problematic than others.


The Geopolitics of London: Or, How England Joined the World
July 19, 2018

The city was a global financial hub well before the EU, and it will be one well after Brexit.

Turkey and Iran: A Rivalry Reborn
July 12, 2018

Competition is unavoidable, but it won’t resemble the wars of old.


Ethiopia: A Regional Power in the Making?
July 5, 2018

The country has grown increasingly assertive in the region.

The US Weighs Its Options in the South China Sea
June 28, 2018

The quiet standoff in the region appears to be entering a new phase.