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Mar. 19, 2018 MarketWatch – George Friedman: America today is still finding its place in a radically changed world
“As the geopolitical system shifts, there is a tendency to see the shifts as transitory, a temporary disruption caused by unfortunate events, until they are well- entrenched, and so we tend to align ourselves with the shift far too late.” – George Friedman

Mar. 13, 2018 Bloomberg Surveillance – Surveillance: A More Hawkish Foreign Policy Ahead, Bremmer Says
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Chairman & Founder, says there has always been tension between the Defense Department, State Department, and CIA.

Mar. 6, 2018 The Trumpet – Japan: A New Leader in Global Trade
“George Friedman wrote recently at Geopolitical Futures: ‘The problem for China is that it is unclear if the country can pull off the kind of politically stable economic transition that Japan managed when its high-growth ‘miracle’ ended in the early 1990s.'”

Mar. 3, 2018 Daily Times – The significance of Indo-US alliance for Pakistan
“It is now commonly believed in the US that NATO cannot win in Afghanistan as long as Taliban sanctuaries exist in Pakistan. But as George Friedman assumes, ‘While the US and NATO forces must rely increasingly on Pakistani supply routes to fight the war in Afghanistan, Pakistan — fearful that the United States and India will establish a long-term strategic partnership — has the incentive to keep the jihadist insurgency boiling (preferably in Afghanistan) to keep the Americans committed to an alliance with Islamabad, however complex that alliance might be.'”

Mar. 1, 2018 Bloomberg Surveillance – Surveillance: The World is Awash with Capital, Ailman Says
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Founder and Chairman, says China and Russia are two constrained military powers trying to pass on the world stage as if they were much more powerful.

Feb. 28, 2018 Real Clear World – Why China Opted For a Strongman
Chinese President Xi Jinping made a string of moves over the weekend that reflect the extraordinary power he’s wielding from atop the Chinese system – but also the threats to both his position and his country that are keeping him up at night. – Phillip Orchard

Feb. 27, 2018 Forbes – In Search Of Investors, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Is Coming To America
“Besides, says George Friedman, of Geopolitical Futures, ‘Who wants to invest in oilfields so easily bombed by Iran?’ Even the Trump Administration would think hard before rushing to Riyadh’s aid.”

Feb. 23, 2018 Real Clear World – The World After McMaster
Senior government officials come and go, and it rarely matters. One suit replaces another, and life goes on. At this moment, however, the fate of McMaster is somewhat more important. – George Friedman

Feb. 19, 2018 Real Clear World – China’s Not the Only Target If U.S. Imposes Steep Tariffs
The US Commerce Department concluded its investigations on Feb. 16 – and the results give President Donald Trump significant new powers. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Feb. 15, 2018 Emerging Europe – In the Balkans, the Power of a Name
Greece and Macedonia appear to be inching toward a settlement on a decades-long dispute over who owns the name “Macedonia.” But with nationalism in both countries rising – as it has been across Europe since 2008 – a deal could endanger the stability of the region or even trigger a conflict between Macedonia’s ethnic Albanian minority and ethnic Macedonian majority. – Antonia Colibasanu

Feb. 14, 2018 Real Clear World – A ‘Credible’ EU Strategy for Balkans Expansion
Finally, the EU is getting serious about the Western Balkans. At least, that’s the implication of its new strategy for the region, aptly titled “A credible enlargement perspective for an enhanced EU engagement with the Western Balkans.” – Antonia Colibasanu

Feb. 13, 2018 Real Clear World – Mexico’s Drug War Is No Closer to an End
Unfortunately for Mexico, the byproduct of the government’s efforts has not been a reduction in violence. On the contrary, violence has increased, in large measure because of the fracture and proliferation of smaller cartels as hostile to one another (if not more so) as they are to Mexican authorities or the local populations. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Feb. 8, 2018 The Trumpet – Iranian Presence in Mediterranean Sea Alarms Israel
“Access to the Mediterranean is strategically important to Iran’s aggressive pursuit of regional hegemony. It’s also a geopolitical necessity, which ‘explains why Iranian and Persian strategy has always focused on developing proxies or strategic relationships with countries amenable to its designs,’ Geopolitical Futures wrote on January 3.”

Feb. 7, 2018 Center for Security Studies – Turkey Invades, NATO Benefits
NATO’s announcement sheds some light on an underlying reality: that NATO benefits from Turkey’s intervention. While the NATO deputy secretary general said the threat posed to Turkey was from terrorism, NATO’s true fear is Russia. – Xander Snyder

Feb. 6, 2018 Newsmax Finance – Growing Economies Don’t Solve Core Issue 2008 Crisis Created
For the first time since 2008, all the world’s major economies are growing. A decade after the financial crash, the impediments to growth have mostly faded away. It goes without saying that economic growth is preferable to stagnation or decline, but not all the marks of the 2008 crash have been wiped away. – George Friedman

Feb. 6, 2018 Real Clear World – A New U.S. Defense Strategy For the Future
The Pentagon’s new National Defense Strategy articulated a profound shift in U.S. strategy, but one that has long been underway: Great power competition, not terrorism, is now the primary focus of U.S. national security. – Phillip Orchard

Feb. 1, 2018 The Trumpet – The Turkish Betrayal
“[T]he ‘alliance’ among these three countries was built on a mismatch of interests,” Geopolitical Futures’ Jacob Shapiro wrote on January 11. “It’s a perfect example of the old adage that two’s company, three’s a crowd. … Turkey’s ideal political solution sees [Syrian President Bashar] Assad removed and the country stitched back together under Sunni aegis.

Feb. 1, 2018 Newsmax Finance – The US’ Foreign Affairs Haven’t Really Changed a Year After Trump
Donald Trump’s behavior has been extremely disruptive, of course, and the fact that he is disliked around the world creates the impression that US behavior is altogether different. But it isn’t. – George Friedman

Jan. 30, 2018 Real Clear World – Growing Economies Should Bring Little Cheer
Not all the marks of the 2008 crash have been wiped away. What happened ceased to be a primarily economic problem years ago, and the effects of 2008 on the global political and social systems are to a great extent beyond the ability of economic growth to repair. – George Friedman

Jan. 23, 2018 Real Clear World – A Useful Tool for Thinking About Brexit and NAFTA
Both Brexit and NAFTA negotiations are important – they will influence how Europe and the United States will economically and politically engage their respective regions – but just as striking are the differences in the ways they are negotiating. – Allison Fedirka

Jan. 16, 2018 Real Clear World – North Korea’s Unlikely Strategic Opening
From the North Koreans’ point of view, they live in a tough neighborhood, filled with threats former and current and with putative allies that did not raise a finger to help North Korea in times of need. Some of these threats emerged long ago, from the American perspective. The Korean view of history has a longer timeframe. – George Friedman

Jan. 16, 2018 MarketWatch – George Friedman: North Korea has backed the U.S. into a corner
George Friedman sees the global political map unfolding in 2018 with the United States less powerful and very much alone in dealing with North Korea, while Asia and Europe are ground-zero for forceful economic and social challenges and their consequences.

Jan. 15, 2018 The Trumpet – Turkey’s Strongman Grows Stronger
“As Geopolitical Futures noted, ‘Turkey’s Emergency Decree No. 696 is a step toward constructing [a powerful, independent] military.'”

Jan. 15, 2018 Radio Poland – Poland targeted by EU because it is important country: political scientist
In an interview with the Monday issue of conservative Polish weekly Sieci, George Friedman said that one of the hallmarks of a rising power is that waning powers direct their heaviest guns against it.

Jan. 12, 2018 Real Clear World – Turkey Breaks With Iran and Russia
Turkey, Iran, and Russia are at odds despite setting up “de-escalation zones” in Syria. What comes next in the ongoing effort to keep the peace? – Jacob L. Shapiro

Jan. 12, 2018 Center for Security Studies – Russia and China’s Alliance of Convenience
Military cooperation between Russia and China has indeed increased in recent years, as have the frequency, and complexity, of joint military exercises. Many observers view these developments as signs of a nascent Russian-Chinese alliance. And both Russia and China want observers to think precisely that. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Jan. 11, 2018 Huffington Post – Where Hypersonic Weapons Fit in the Future of War
What the Chinese need are relatively short-range missiles to force the U.S. Navy to retreat from the South China Sea. Precision-guided cruise missiles might be able to saturate, and then penetrate, U.S. ship defense systems. Warfare would then become a matter of intercepting high-speed missiles or destroying the platforms from which they are launched, assuming the intelligence is available. – George Friedman

Jan. 11, 2018 Eurasia Expert – I did predict that there would be conflict in Ukraine but not that Russia would win – George Friedman
In a modern world with all the events unfolding so rapidly it can become quite hard to predict the outcome of ongoing conflicts or forecast the course of events in the unstable regions. To learn more about them «Eurasia.Expert» had a talk with an American geopolitical forecaster, strategist on international affairs, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures George Friedman.

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