Geopolitical Futures in the Press
July 12, 2018 The Trumpet – Iran Threatens to Block the Strait of Hormuz
“President Trump is implementing a strategy to cut off Iran’s oil exports, and it is coming at a bad time for Iran. According to Geopolitical Futures, this could diminish Iranian oil output from its current 2.28 million barrels per day to only 1 million barrels per day. This would cause the value of Iran’s currency, the rial, to collapse.”
July 11, 2018 The Trumpet – Is News of China’s Rise Hurting China?
“‘China, as all countries do, has been emphasizing its achievements and celebrating its future,’ wrote George Friedman for Geopolitical Futures. He said that recent articles downplaying China’s power ‘break the pattern and thus need to be taken seriously.'”
July 6, 2018 Real Clear World – Ethiopia: A Regional Power in the Making?
When we think of countries competing for power and influence in the Horn of Africa, a short list of candidates comes to mind: the U.S., Iran, China, Russia, Turkey and various European powers. Notably absent from this list are countries from within the region itself. But this may be about to change.
July 2, 2018 MarketWatch – George Friedman: China’s president may be weaker than he appears
Historically, as China rises, it loses stability. When it loses stability, it installs a dictator. The dictator may take the form of an emperor or party chairman, but he is a dictator nonetheless. It is in this context that I have begun to form a tentative theory: that Xi Jinping’s strength is a facade. – George Friedman
June 28, 2018 Real Clear World – In Search of a Third German Economic Miracle
Germany’s economy is in trouble. According to the Ifo Institute, a top German think tank based in Munich, “storm clouds are gathering over the German economy.” And like a storm, the problems have appeared suddenly. – Jacob L. Shapiro
June 28, 2018 Renton Reporter – Trump’s behavior means world simply cannot trust the U.S.
“‘The U.S. became involved in the Vietnam War precisely because it feared the implications for its containment policy against the Soviet Union if it allowed Vietnam to fall into communist hands’ (Jacob Shapiro, ‘A Question About American Credibility’: Geopolitical Futures, June 5, 2018).”
June 27, 2018 Euractiv – Azerbaijan asserts its power in the South Caucasus
“A minor escalation carries an important message. Russia has reason to support Azerbaijan’s move in Nakhchivan, as its primary imperative in the South Caucasus is to prevent any country from moving too far into the Western camp, writes Xander Snyder.”
June 26, 2018 MacroGeo – In Germany, politics recollects history
Throughout her 13 years in Germany’s highest office, Chancellor Angela Merkel has been the linchpin of German politics. Given Germany’s pre-eminence in the European Union, she is arguably the linchpin of European politics, too, having shepherded her country through crisis after crisis. – George Friedman
June 25, 2018 MarketWatch – George Friedman: Europe must now deal with Germany’s rising nationalism
The European Union, once a beacon of cooperation and progress, is rife with political parties that oppose many of the things the EU embodies — transnationalism, technocratic elite, etc. – George Friedman
June 24, 2018 L’Express – Le G7 est une institution figée, dépassée
Une certitude : le G7 est obsolète, dépassé, figé dans une époque révolue, celle de la Guerre froide. Créée dans les années 1970 en réponse au premier choc pétrolier, cette institution avait des objectifs flous dès le départ… et ils le sont restés. – George Friedman
June 21, 2018 Cicero – Neither Merkel’s open borders nor her power can survive
After the Second World War Germany became the largest economy in Europe. It demanded unity and a commitment to the European project. But there is still a historical antipathy against Germany. That evokes problems for Angela Merkel – George Friedman
June 20, 2018 ABC News: Start Here – Analyst predicted ‘Space Force’
President Trump’s call for a “Space Force” might have taken a lot of people by surprise, but not George Friedman, who predicted this 20 years ago in his book The Future of War. ABC News’ Brad Mielke reports via the Start Here podcast.
June 18, 2018 Coinfrenzy – Geopolitical Analyst George Friedman Says Blockchain Will Become Obsolete
“George Friedman, a geopolitical analyst, says the blockchain tech will become obsolete someday, reports CNBC, June 15. According to Friedman, blockchain tech is one of the many hypes people are benefiting from, and therefore, making unbelievably extraordinary claims about it.”
June 18, 2018 Real Clear World – Thinking About the Balkans
The Balkans are always caught between great powers. It’s also not unusual for the Balkans to seem to be on the edge of war. They usually avoid it. When they fail, the result is catastrophic. – George Friedman
June 17, 2018 News BTC – Blockchain Will Become “Obsolete” Says George Friedman
“George Friedman, a respected geopolitical forecaster, believes that blockchain technology will become ‘obsolete’ over time.”
June 16, 2018 Cointelegraph – Geopolitical Analyst Believes Blockchain Will Become ‘Obsolete’
“Geopolitical analyst George Friedman says that blockchain technology will one day become ‘obsolete,’ CNBC reported June 15.”
June 16, 2018 MacroGeo – The Latest Chapter in the European Migration Crisis
When 630 people were rescued by a ship called the Aquarius off the coast of Libya last weekend, little did they know their plight would set off a series of events that would deepen the divisions in an already fractured Europe. – Jacob L. Shapiro
June 16, 2018 MacroGeo – Why the US now fears what’s happening in Italy
Italy’s importance to the United States is found in its role within U.S.-European affairs. – Antonia Colibasanu
June 15, 2018 CNBC – Geopolitical analyst George Friedman says blockchain will become ‘obsolete’
“‘I’ve never known any encryption technology not to be broken,’ Geopolitical Futures founder George Friedman told CNBC on Thursday from the sidelines of the UBS CIO Global Forum in New York.”
June 12, 2018 MarketWatch – George Friedman: Trump and Kim each got what they wanted from their summit
The Singapore summit has come and gone, and though the fact that it was convened at all is important in its own right, the bigger question is whether anything can come from it. – George Friedman
June 11, 2018 Polska Times – George Friedman: Po 2020 roku dojdzie do rozpadu Rosji. Zyska na tym m.in. Polska
June 10, 2018 Hungary Journal- Friedman on the importance of nations
“’Global citizens’ don’t exist, because life is meaningless without duty, sacrifice and loyalty – and you can’t be loyal to everything and everybody, George Friedman, Hungarian-born founder of the Geopolitical Futures said at the Brain Bar festival in Budapest last week, according to Mandiner‘s report on Saturday.”
June 10, 2018 Newstalk ZB – George Friedman on the G-7 Summit and Historic Singapore Summit
As the G-7 summit has come to a close in Canada, U.S. President Donald Trump is now preparing for a historic summit in Singapore with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. George Friedman breaks down what really happened at the G-7 and what could come from the meeting in Singapore, with Newstalk’s Leighton Smith
June 9, 2018 The Trumpet – This Week: Five Events You Need to Know
“‘[T]he region isn’t a stranger to instability,” Geopolitical Futures noted on June 5, “but Jordan is.’ The protests are the biggest the nation has seen in years. Jordanian King Abdullah ii warned on Monday that his country was standing ‘at a crossroads: either it can come out of the crisis and provide a dignified life to our citizens, or, God forbid, it can go into the unknown.'”
June 7, 2018 Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas – Ross Reaches Deal to Put ZTE Back in Business
“George Friedman, founder and chairman at Geopolitical Futures, discusses the United States reaching a deal that will allow ZTE Corp. to get back in business. He speaks on “Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas.”
June 7, 2018 The Trumpet – Why an Arab Spring in Jordan Is Not Imminent
“‘Public protests against rising bread prices started six months ago with a handful of unemployed people in isolated locations and evolved [last week] into organized demonstrations involving multiple groups and thousands of protesters,’ reported Geopolitical Futures.”
June 6, 2018 MacroGeo – A Win-Win-Win Situation in Northern Syria
A rare agreement has reportedly been reached by the United States and Turkey, with the Syrian Kurds stuck in the middle. – Xander Snyder
June 5, 2018 ECHO TV – The EU will fall
GPF Chairman George Friedman on the Hungarian Model and the EU: why the EU regulations are bad for the member states? Why some member states would like to renegotiate the treaties of EU?
June 4, 2018 ACT Media – George Friedman invited at the “Emerging Importance of Wider Black Sea Area Security” conference, în Sibiu
Currently, the United States of America is not in the situation to deploy a significant fleet to the Black Sea, and Romania should firstly enhance its own military response capacities in this area, on Friday said the US analyst George Friedman, president of the Geopolitical Futures, at a specialised conference in central Sibiu.
June 1, 2018 Business Review – George Friedman, on Romania: “If you want to rely on political alliances, then you should think of sending politicians on the war’s frontline”
George Friedman, the head of Geopolitical Futures, said at Sibiu that Romania should focus on strengthening its own military response capacities at the Black Sea because American forces are not currently in the position to move a significant fleet in this area.
June 1, 2018 Monitorul Apărării și Securitații – George Friedman: Rusia este o superputere într-o nouă realitate, care nu este un nou război rece
Video: Rusia este o superputere într-o nouă realitate, care nu este un nou război rece, a declarat, vineri, pentru Monitorul Apărării şi Securităţii, George Friedman, fondator şi preşedinte al Geopolitical Futures.
June 1, 2018 Real Clear World – On Trade Wars, Tactical Retreats and Military Bases
An already eventful week in geopolitics has ended with a flurry of activity. Washington, already unexpectedly slap-happy with tariffs this week, upped the ante again on May 31 when it announced it would no longer exempt Canada, Mexico and the European Union from steel and aluminum tariffs. – Jacob L. Shapiro
May 31, 2018 Real Clear World – India, Ever the Reluctant U.S. Ally
The world continues to react to the death of the Iran nuclear deal – and only sometimes are the reactions in Washington’s favor. India, a country with which the U.S. has improved relations over recent years, is trying to work around sanctions. – Allison Fedirka
May 24, 2018 Real Clear World – Why Venezuela Can’t Be Like Colombia
Venezuela has been set in a cycle of boom or bust with its problems buried too deep – both in its history and quite literally underground. Meanwhile, Colombia’s need to bring about domestic political stability after decades of infighting and to seek a more measured approach to economic development has created a comparatively less volatile political and economic system. – Allison Fedirka
May 21, 2018 MacroGeo – North Korea manages expectations, one provocation at a time
By all accounts, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo heard what he wanted to hear during his trip to Pyongyang last week. National Security Adviser John Bolton was drawing up his plans. North Korea had yet to back out of the negotiations. Everything looked as it should. If all this seemed too good to be true, well, that’s because it was. – Phillip Orchard