Geopolitical Futures in the Press

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March 15, 2019 Axios – 1 big thing: Germany is Europe’s most dangerous country
“‘Germany’s economy is really exposed to any shifts in the international market,’ George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, tells Axios. ‘You have a problem with the largest economy in Europe not really being in control of its own economy. So in that sense it’s the most dangerous country in Europe because it’s the most important country and incredibly vulnerable.'”

March 11, 2019 Real Clear World – Cuba’s Shifting Geopolitics
The United States’ animosity toward Cuba seems a matter of course. So, it came as no surprise when Congress passed legislation this week that allows U.S. companies to sue Cuban entities. Over the past 125 years, however, the U.S. and Cuba have shifted from close allies to sworn enemies. – Allison Fedirka

March 14, 2019 Real Clear World – Alliances Shift as the Syrian War Winds Down
Last week, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that Israel and Russia had agreed to cooperate on withdrawing foreign forces from Syria. If confirmed, it would mean that Russia has agreed to force the Iranians out of Syria, a significant development for both Israel and the Syrian war itself. – George Friedman

March 7, 2019 Real Clear World – Why India and Pakistan Avoided Nuclear War
Tensions have been high in South Asia, to say the least. India and Pakistan are nuclear powers, and any time one nuclear power attacks another it reminds us how easy it would be to trigger nuclear annihilation. All it takes is one miscalculation or mistaken intention for none of us to be here anymore. – Phillip Orchard and Xander Snyder

March 6, 2019 The Courier-Herald – Lies During the Cuban Missile Crisis
“Presidential candidate John F. Kennedy lied about Soviet missile strength to win the 1960 election. This is the assertion that George Friedman makes in his February 26, 2019, Geopolitical Futures article entitled, ‘Putin, Khrushchev and the Lessons of the Cuban Missile Crisis.'”

March 5, 2019 Real Clear World – After Hanoi: North Korea, the US and Japan
“Establishing that you are prepared to walk away from the table is important – but sometimes the deal falls apart as a result.” – George Friedman on where things stand with the tumultuous North Korea-US relationship & how it all impacts Japan.

March 5, 2019 Brain Bar – Moral Machines, the Mars Obsession and Facebook Censorship – BRAIN BAR PODCAST #01
How does #science and #technology relate to moral obligation? Is there such a thing as a morally neutral technology? Jacob L. Shapiro discusses on Brain Bar’s first podcast.

Feb 28, 2019 Brain Bar – Can we stop global warming? | Ask the Right Question with George Friedman
Why is passion a dangerous thing when it comes to serious debates like climate change? GPF Chairman George Friedman explains in the newest installment of Brain Bar’s Ask the Right Question series.

Feb 20, 2019 Leighton Smith Podcast – Leighton Smith Podcast Episode 4 – 20 February 2019
GPF Chairman George Friedman discusses the world in 2019, with Part 2 and a discussion the U.S.A. and Europe and Brexit on the Leighton Smith Podcast, via NewstalkZB.

Feb 18, 2019 Real Clear World – Authoritarianism in the Information Age
Russia’s now the most recent example of a country restricting internet access, with its Digital Economy National Program. In effect, it’s new internet infrastructure is being constructed by authoritarian design and with totalitarian potential. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Feb 14, 2019 Real Clear World – How Venezuela Aligned the Western Hemisphere
In the Western Hemisphere, it’s Venezuela versus just about everybody. The fallout from the country’s crisis has evolved beyond a confrontation with the United States over sanctions to a hemispheric – even global – melee. – Allison Fedirka

Feb 13, 2019 Leighton Smith Podcast – Leighton Smith Podcast Episode 3 – 13 February 2019
“The media is not very good at distinguishing between technical problems and systemic problems. The systemic problem with #China is that it has a massive export-oriented #economy. It’s way too large for domestic consumption, and it’s high rate of employment depends on it.” – GPF Chairman George Friedman discusses the world in 2019 on the Leighton Smith Podcast, via NewstalkZB.

Feb 5, 2019 Radio Poland – Poland constructive in reshaping EU: expert
Prof. George Friedman, a prominent American geopolitics expert, is pessimistic about the prospects of the European Union.

Feb 4, 2019 MacroGeo – Remembering to Forget World War II
From international political structures to still-unresolved territorial disputes – between Japan and Russia, between Ukraine and its neighbors, between Israel and the Palestinians and between everyone in the Balkans – the world today was forged by the changes World War II wrought. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Jan 31, 2019 Real Clear World – Perspectives on Intervention in Venezuela
For years, Venezuela has been the picture of protracted collapse, a feat made all the more impressive by the fact that its downfall was largely unassisted. Yet talk of foreign intervention abounds. – George Friedman and Jacob L. Shapiro

Jan 31, 2018 Brain Bar – What’s the United Nations good for? | Ask the Right Question with George Friedman
The United Nations is a very large organization, and a very expensive one. But is it effective? George Friedman discusses whether the UN is money well spent.

Jan 28, 2019 MacroGeo – Where Brexit Goes From Here
What started two and a half years ago as a binary choice between leave or remain is increasingly looking binary again. This time, it’s between no deal and no Brexit. – Ryan Bridges

Jan 17, 2019 Real Clear World – Mexico’s New Foreign Policy: A Return to the Past
After his inauguration on Jan. 10 to a second term as Venezuela’s president, Nicolas Maduro faced backlash from several world leaders who saw his re-election as fraudulent and his presidency as illegitimate. But one leader who refused to condemn Maduro is Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who was himself inaugurated only on Dec. 1. – Allison Fedirka

Jan 13, 2019 TVP INFO – George Friedman on Studio Zachód
George Friedman o konferencji nt. Bliskiego Wschodu: W sferze międzynarodowej Polska staje się miejscem, gdzie odbywają się takie spotkania i to jest rzecz bynajmniej nietrywialna. Mógłby to być Paryż, Waszyngton, Moskwa, a teraz jest to Warszawa

Jan 7, 2019 Dennis Prager Show – Dennis Prager and George Friedman on Saudi Crown Prince and Jamal Khashoggi
Dennis Prager and George Friedman discuss details on the Saudi Crown Prince and the death of Jamal Khashoggi. They also discuss China and Mexico.

Jan 7, 2019 Real Clear World – Brazil Finds More Than a Friend in Israel
The friendly relationship between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Brazil’s new president, Jair Bolsonaro, made headlines at the end of 2018. This “budding brotherhood,” as they’ve called it, started when Bolsonaro, then the president-elect, announced plans to move Brazil’s embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. – Allison Fedirka

Jan 3, 2019 MacroGeo – The Second Partition of Ukraine?
Ukraine is in danger of experiencing disintegration similar to what Poland endured in the 18th century. In fact, Poland is one of a number of regional rivals that have claims to Ukrainian territory and may be waiting for an opportunity to take back what they see as rightfully theirs. – Jacob L. Shapiro

Jan 2, 2019 YeniSafak – Turkey will become a superpower: George Friedman
“’For the past 100 years Turkey has been in a very strange position that it was never in before, because it was first surrounded by the Europeans, and then the Russians and then the Americans. The Americans are leaving, the Russians are not coming back and the British are busy doing other things. Suddenly Turkey is unfolding its wings,’ said Friedman.”

Dec 28, 2018 KJZZ 91.5 – What Geopolitical Events Can We Expect In 2019?
As we look to the new year, let’s take a closer look at what’s coming to the world stage. Geopolitical Futures — a for-profit, nonpartisan company that compiles analysis regarding worldwide events, politics, and economics — has released its annual forecast predicting a major reshuffling on the global stage in 2019. So, what exactly is in store? For some top line predictions, The Show was joined by Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis for the company.

Dec 21, 2018 Real Clear World – Xi Walks the Line Between Reform and Revolution
International opinion about the threat posed by Chinese economic policies has changed and now could cut China off from the foreign capital and technology that fueled its rise. Besides, Beijing has been taking small steps to ease international pressure and sustain its trade truce with the U.S. by, for example, lifting foreign ownership caps in some sectors. – Phillip Orchard

Dec 18, 2018 Union of Investment Companies – The Investor magazine – Geopolitics and the GCC in 2019
“Geopolitics often dominates headlines about the Gulf Cooperation Council states. Despite phenomenal episodes of economic development and growth in the GCC in recent years, geopolitical factors continue to shape and influence the region. To learn more about which geopolitical issues will define Kuwait and the GCC in 2019, The Investor spoke with George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, about his forecast for the region for the coming year.”

Dec 14, 2018 Brain Bar – Is there a solution to the migration crisis? | Ask the Right Question with George Friedman
How can we solve the problem of migration? At first, the elite should recognize its price, says geopolitical expert George Friedman.

Dec 12, 2018 Real Clear World – Will Abe’s Article 9 Revisions Fly?
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s march to reform the war-renouncing Japanese Constitution is still mired in a slog of domestic political resistance. But, as has generally been the case since the Japan Self-Defense Forces were reconstituted in 1954, Tokyo isn’t waiting for public concern to align neatly with its strategic interests. – Phillip Orchard

Dec 7, 2018 Real Clear World – Tracing the Origins of Venezuela’s Crisis
Just over a month from now, on Jan. 10, Nicolas Maduro is scheduled to be sworn in again as president of Venezuela. The occasion won’t be without controversy – some 50 countries failed to recognize the elections in May that set Maduro up for another term in office. – Allison Fedirka

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