Forecasts

The World in 2016

Dec. 2, 2015

We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

To view a summary and highlights of this forecast, click here.

The United States
Europe
Russia
Asia
The Middle East
Peripheral Regions

An Introduction

The fundamental reality of the world is that Eurasia, understood as the vast land mass stretching from the Atlantic to Pacific oceans and the Arctic to the Indian oceans, is increasingly unsettled and even chaotic. In the meantime, North America remains relatively stable and operating from a different paradigm. It is this model that will define and drive events globally in 2016.

A quick glance at Eurasia will give you a sense of its instability...

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