South Asia

Net Assessment of South Asia

Dec. 2, 2015 South Asia is home to almost a quarter of the world’s population. The region’s geopolitical reality is dominated by a complex series of power dynamics, centered on the relationship between Pakistan and India.

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2017 Forecast Mid-Year Report Card

July 7, 2017 Six months into the year, we take a look at how our forecasts have held up so far.

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The Retreat of Secularism in India

June 30, 2017 Hindu nationalism is filling the void, and jihadism may not be far behind.

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Ramadan: A Holy and Violent Month

June 2, 2017 Jihadist groups have invoked the Islamic holiday’s history to further their agendas.

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Regime Collapse and a US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

May 8, 2017 No one is willing to acknowledge the extent of the challenge in Afghanistan.

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Regional Security and the Islamic Military Alliance

April 5, 2017 The formation of a “Muslim NATO” may actually encourage jihadism.

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Turning Economic Risk into Opportunity in India

March 23, 2017 In tackling non-performing loans, Prime Minister Narendra Modi hopes to centralize political power.

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State Elections and Power in India

March 14, 2017 Prime Minister Narendra Modi may be more effective at centralizing power than previously thought.

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China and a Philippine Foreign Secretary’s Ouster

March 10, 2017 The South China Sea is a sideshow.

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The Afghanistan-Pakistan Fault Line

March 2, 2017 The U.S. will be engaged in military and intelligence operations at the Afghan-Pakistani border for many years.

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China’s Limits in the Indo-Pacific

Jan. 20, 2017 Taking stock of competition between India, China and the U.S. in the Indian Ocean.

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Russia’s View of Afghanistan and the Taliban

Jan. 18, 2017 Improving relations with the Taliban gives Moscow the ability to increase its bargaining position in dealings with Washington.

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The Real Goal Behind India’s Economic Reforms

Jan. 12, 2017 The prime minister’s decision to demonetize India’s currency is as much about centralizing power as economic reform.

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2016 Forecast Year-End Report Card

Dec. 22, 2016 As the year comes to an close, we examine how our forecast for 2016 fared.

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The World in 2017

Dec. 12, 2016 Major countries will see economic downturns due to low oil prices and a declining export market.

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Funding the Rebels in Myanmar

Nov. 23, 2016 The Chinese government is allowing domestic fundraising for Myanmar rebel fighters.

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India’s Money Maneuver

Nov. 18, 2016 New currency measures are causing long lines and short tempers.

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Tensions Brewing Between India and Pakistan

Nov. 2, 2016 Neither side wants war, but both face pressure to retaliate against attacks.

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The Coming Crisis in South Asia

Oct. 13, 2016 Rising tensions in Kashmir mean the region can no longer be considered stable relative to the rest of Eurasia.

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Afghan Government Staring at the Abyss

Oct. 10, 2016 The Taliban seem to be overwhelming the government on the battlefield.

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Afghanistan’s Unending Civil War

Sept. 15, 2016 Despite Western backing, the government has been unable to suppress the Taliban and gain control of the country.

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The Taliban and the Divided Afghan State

Aug. 30, 2016 Those who would fight the Taliban cannot present a united front.

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2016 Forecast Mid-Year Report Card

July 7, 2016 Six months into the year, we take a look at how our forecasts have held up so far.

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China’s Successors: The Manufacturing Migration

June 15, 2016 New countries are inheriting the role of the once-dominant basic manufacturing powerhouse.

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The US’ Distinct Approach to China and India

June 9, 2016 The two most populous nations have very different relationships with the United States.

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India: One State, Many Countries

May 19, 2016 As the rest of Eurasia slides further into crisis, the only thing getting in India’s way is India.

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Shifting Alliances in the Middle East and South Asia

April 4, 2016 For Saudi Arabia, Iran, Pakistan and India, the long-established dynamics are changing.

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The Significance of US, Indian and Japanese Naval Exercises

March 4, 2016 While most joint drills are routine gestures, these signal an interesting shift.

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Investment Patterns Shift as Exporters’ Crisis Deepens

Feb. 3, 2016 Foreign direct investment is moving away from export-dependent countries and searching for stability.

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Russia-Taliban Talks

Dec. 26, 2015 A Russian official said the country has had contact with the Taliban over the Islamic State, which would represent a shift in Russian policy.

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Net Assessment of South Asia

Dec. 2, 2015 South Asia is home to almost a quarter of the world’s population. The region’s geopolitical reality is dominated by a complex series of power dynamics, centered on the relationship between Pakistan and India.

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The World in 2016

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

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The World in 2016: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the year ahead.

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The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

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The Road to 2040: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the next 25 years.

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