Central Asia

Net Assessment of Central Asia

March 17, 2016 Given its geography and proximity to major global powers, the region is vulnerable to invasion and susceptible to being heavily influenced by external conditions.

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Islamic States and Muslim Secularism

April 18, 2017 Muslim-majority nations will struggle with the role of religion in politics for a long time to come.

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The Afghanistan-Pakistan Fault Line

March 2, 2017 The U.S. will be engaged in military and intelligence operations at the Afghan-Pakistani border for many years.

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The US Is Not Abandoning Asia

Feb 13, 2017 A look at US military and investment positions in the Asia-Pacific region.

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Kazakhstan Changing to Secure Continuity

Jan. 31, 2017 At stake is the stability of Central Asia.

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Understanding Peace Talks

Jan. 23, 2017 Few formal peace negotiations actually lead to peace.

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2016 Forecast Year-End Report Card

Dec. 22, 2016 As the year comes to an close, we examine how our forecast for 2016 fared.

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The World in 2017

Dec. 12, 2016 Major countries will see economic downturns due to low oil prices and a declining export market.

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The World Before World War II Re-Emerges

Sept. 8, 2016 Instability runs rampant across the Eurasian landmass today at a level unseen since the years leading up to World War II.

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Uzbekistan and the Coming Central Asian Storm

Aug. 29, 2016 The authoritarian Uzbek leader’s hospitalization could mean chaos in the region.

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2016 Forecast Mid-Year Report Card

July 7, 2016 Six months into the year, we take a look at how our forecasts have held up so far.

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Turkey Attack Linked to Islamic State in Central Asia

June 30, 2016 Uzbek and Kyrgyz suicide bombers show that IS has increased its influence in the volatile region.

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Central Asia: The Next Region to Unravel

June 10, 2016 The instability in Kazakhstan in recent weeks could spread throughout the region.

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Update on Major Forecasts

June 6, 2016 Developments in Germany, China and Kazakhstan indicate our forecast is on track.

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Protests Spread Across Kazakhstan

May 2, 2016 Unrest in Central Asia could signal regional destabilization.

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Net Assessment of Central Asia

March 17, 2016 Given its geography and proximity to major global powers, the region is vulnerable to invasion and susceptible to being heavily influenced by external conditions.

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Islamic State and Central Asia

Feb. 1, 2016 A radio broadcast from Afghanistan raises the question: Could IS expand into the region?

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The Geopolitics of Deposit Insurance

Jan. 29, 2016 Governments are growing increasingly worried that public confidence in banking systems may diminish, as financial problems in parts of Europe and Asia escalate.

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Exporters Pursue Privatization Plans

Jan. 19, 2016 As commodity prices and demand decline, some countries heavily dependent on exports are looking for new sources of revenue.

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Signs of Trouble in Kazakhstan

Jan. 13, 2016 The country’s economic and political challenges indicate growing instability, a familiar trend among Central Asian states.

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Destabilization in Central Asia

Dec. 23, 2015 Central Asian governments have been turning their attention to potential security threats and economic problems that could destabilize the region.

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Tajikistan, Russia and Fears of Unrest

Dec. 18, 2015 The decline of the Russian economy and weakening of the ruble have had significant impacts on Tajikistan and the governments in both countries are concerned about a possible increase in instability as a result.

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Growing Instability in Tajikistan

Dec. 4, 2015 Challenges for the Tajik regime, from economic troubles to Islamic State activity, are growing, posing a risk both to the regime and the region’s stability.

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Kazakhstan’s Corruption Crackdown

Nov. 25, 2015 Corruption, particularly in the armed forces, has become a major issue in Kazakhstan and the government is now cracking down.

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The World in 2016

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

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The World in 2016: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the year ahead.

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The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

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The Road to 2040: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the next 25 years.

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