Containing China on the Open Seas

Nov. 2, 2017 A defense cooperation initiative between Australia, India, Japan and the U.S. is being resurrected, this time on firmer grounds.

A Sea Change in the Security of the South Pacific

Small countries have been caught in the current of great power politics.

Australia Weighs Its Relationships With the US, China

For Australia, the dilemma ultimately comes down to the fact that its key security partner is at odds with its top economic partner.

The World in 2016

Dec. 2, 2015 We look ahead at the major geopolitical developments the world can expect to see in 2016. These include fragmentation in the European Union, as a result of the continuing refugee and financial crises, and a reluctant confrontation between Turkey and the Islamic State.

The US Is Not Abandoning Asia

Feb 13, 2017 A look at US military and investment positions in the Asia-Pacific region.

Articulating Australia’s Interests

The prime minister’s recent speech was not so kind to China, despite reports to the contrary.

The South Pacific: Aligned Against China

Australia is the region’s major power, but now there are signs of life from New Zealand.

Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

June 7, 2017 Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in.

The Predictive Power of Demography

History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong.

The Fallout From a Currency Crunch

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.