Russia’s Black Sea Fleet Ventures Into the Mediterranean

The fleet plays a key role in Russia’s Mediterranean strategy.

Daily Memo: Belarus Buys Oil, South Korea in the Middle East,...

Minsk has secured a shipment from Norway while Turkey tests waters outside Somalia.

Russia’s Puzzling Moves

Over the past few weeks, two odd things have happened in Russia. The first is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has restructured the government....

Daily Memo: Outbreak in China, Russian Oil, Northern Syria

The coronavirus outbreak could be geopolitically significant in a number of ways.

The Power Players in Libya’s Civil War

The number of concerned parties is growing by the day, but Russia and Turkey remain the conflict’s center of gravity.

Putin’s State of the Nation Address and His Path to Future...

The president is looking for ways to carry out his agenda beyond 2024.

Daily Memo: Phase One Complete, the Russian Government Resigns

The trade war will continue despite some initial agreements.

Daily Memo: Cease-Fires on Battlefields and Trade Wars

Trade deal details leaked. The details of the “phase one” trade deal expected to be inked this week by Chinese and U.S. trade delegations in D.C. are starting to leak. According to Reuters, the South China Morning Post and others, China will agree to purchase some $200 billion in U.S. goods per year, including $75 […]

The Limits of Germany’s Economic Outreach to Russia

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was in Moscow on Saturday to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Over more than three and a half hours they discussed the situations in Syria and Libya, the Iran nuclear deal, the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project and implementation of the Minsk agreement regarding Ukraine. This was Merkel’s first […]

Daily Memo: Iran-Iraq Update, a Standoff in the South China Sea,...

Iran considers its response to the Soleimani killing, and Chinese boats cruise through Indonesia's exclusive economic zone.

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment in a longer and more complex tale in which figures who tower for a time pass by unnoticed, when the triumphs and tragedies that rivet us all fade away, all […]

Daily Memo: Soleimani’s Assassination, Ending Spain’s Political Gridlock, Russia-Belarus Oil Tiff

All eyes on Tehran. The United States assassinated Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani, the longtime chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and a singular figure in the Middle East over the past two decades, with an airstrike at the Baghdad airport early on Friday morning. Soleimani had just arrived on a flight from Lebanon. Also […]