Daily Memo: Denuclearizing North Korea, Redefining Trade, Courting India

Regional actors appear to be coalescing around the issue of Pyongyang’s controversial program.

Daily Memo: Syria Reconstruction, German Labor Shortages, Nuclear North Korea

Damascus intends to rebuild the country before the war even ends.

Daily Memo: Unsettled Trade Settlements, China Overtakes Russia in the Pentagon’s...

Trade deal uncertainty. Pen was finally put to paper in both the U.S.-China “phase one” trade deal and the new NAFTA last week, but implementation of both agreements is already proving tricky. As we forecast, the phase one deal leaves the biggest points of contention between the U.S. and China unsettled, ensuring that bilateral trade […]

Daily Memo: US Missile Test, Trade Deal Confusion, Brexit Go-Ahead

RIP, INF. The Pentagon tested a conventionally configured ground-launched ballistic missile from Vandenberg Air Force base in California. The test was formally prohibited by the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, which the U.S. formally withdrew from in August. This was the second test that the U.S. has conducted that violates the INF, with the Pentagon […]

The Internet and the Tragedy of the Commons

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Jan. 4, 2017 The expectation of anonymity online has become extreme.

Daily Memo: Defense Budgets, Trade Deals, Aramco Shares

The U.S. Congress releases the Pentagon budget for the next fiscal year, and the U.S., Canada and Mexico officially sign NAFTA 2.0.

Daily Memo: Gulf Thaw, Trade Talks Progress, Turkey Pushes Boundaries

Progress in GCC-Qatar dispute. There are promising signs at the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Saudi Arabia that Gulf tensions are easing. Qatar sent its prime minister to the summit – the highest-level official dispatched by that country to the summit in two years – and indicated a possible warming of relations with GCC countries […]

Pearl Harbor and the Strategy of Economic Sanctions

There have been many lessons drawn from the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. One was that wars need not begin according to international law. Another was that attacks can be unexpected and that constant vigilance is necessary. Still another was that underestimating an enemy can be catastrophic. And yet another was that failure to understand […]

Daily Memo: North Korea Ups the Ante, the US Still Pivots...

Things between the U.S. and North Korea have been relatively quiet since 2018; expect this to change dramatically in 2020.

Daily Memo: The US Case Against Iran, South Korea and China...

The Pentagon hasn’t commented on recent attacks in Iraq, but leaks provide some details.

Daily Memo: North Korean Threats, NATO Friction, the Endless Trade War

North Korea tells the U.S. it's running out of time to negotiate, and NATO members meet in London.

A Common Theme of Global Unrest

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From Hong Kong to Tehran to Buenos Aires, the world appears to be destabilizing. The question that has been raised is whether there is...