Turning From Flynn to the Russians

Feb. 16, 2017 If all this is true, the Russians have seen a brilliant plan blow up in their faces.

Washington’s Role in Turkey-Iraq Dispute

Dec. 17, 2015 After Turkey deployed unauthorized troops to a training camp in Iraq, the U.S. has been trying to calm tensions between two countries.

The Roots of Hillary Clinton’s Foreign Policy

Oct. 18, 2016 The candidate has not shifted her strategy to respond to the changing reality in the international system.

John McCain and the Moral War

An obituary of the late U.S. senator.

An End in Sight for Ukraine … Maybe

Sept. 28, 2017 There are early indicators that Russia and the U.S. may settle for neutrality in Kiev right now.

The Trouble with Ending Wars

June 14, 2016 Today’s U.S. deployments in the Middle East look similar to those in 1972 Vietnam.

A World of Constraints

July 7, 2016 A leader’s potential actions are far more limited than one would think.

China’s Exports to the US

Dec. 9, 2016 The sheer number of products for which the United States depends on imports from China is striking, as shown in the chart below. In 2015, 21.8 percent of U.S. imports came from China. The U.S. pushed for China to join the World Trade Organization in 2001, the year U.S. imports of Chinese goods took off in earnest. Through trade with China, U.S. consumers gained access to cheaper goods because it cost less to make them in China than in the U.S. China became a convenient one-stop shop for building and selling products of all sorts, and an especially strong electronics supply chain emerged in Asia, centered around China.

China also is exposed to the U.S. markets. With the exception of 2013, the U.S. has been the top destination for Chinese exports for over 15 years (in 2013 the U.S. was a close second to Hong Kong). In that period, the size of the Chinese economy, measured in terms of GDP, has increased by a factor of 10, from $1.3 trillion in 2001 to $10.9 trillion in 2015. Last year, 18 percent of China’s exports went to the U.S., a percentage three times bigger than the percentage of exports received by China’s second-largest importer by country, Japan.

France and Germany Call to End Trade Talks

Aug. 31, 2016 The politics surrounding EU-U.S. free trade negotiations emphasize the divisions in the EU.

Germany Warns of the Danger of War

Oct. 11, 2016 With lower stakes, the U.S. and Russia might take riskier actions.

Vietnam, the US and the Centrality of Geopolitics

May 24, 2016 Based on ideology, Washington should not sell weapons to Hanoi, but it is.