Daily Memo: Outbreak in China, Russian Oil, Northern Syria

The coronavirus outbreak could be geopolitically significant in a number of ways.

Daily Memo: Aftermath of a Trade Deal, Egypt and Israel Respond,...

The agreement will be consequential even if doesn’t change U.S.-China tensions.

Daily Memo: Phase One Complete, the Russian Government Resigns

The trade war will continue despite some initial agreements.

Daily Memo: Cease-Fires on Battlefields and Trade Wars

Trade deal details leaked. The details of the “phase one” trade deal expected to be inked this week by Chinese and U.S. trade delegations in D.C. are starting to leak. According to Reuters, the South China Morning Post and others, China will agree to purchase some $200 billion in U.S. goods per year, including $75 […]

Evaluating the Importance of Recent Events

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There are moments when the entire world seems to be coming apart, as if Armageddon itself were upon us. Public attention tends to be...

Daily Memo: Taiwan’s Elections, Iran’s Protests

Voters rebuke China while new protests take place in Iran.

Daily Memo: Downed Planes and Failed Cease-fires

The world continues to react to tensions in the Middle East.

Daily Memo: Diplomacy to Resolve Libyan Conflict, Iran Tensions Ease, Brexit...

TurkStream, Libya and pipe dreams. Turkey and Russia announced a cease-fire in Libya, to begin on Jan. 12, following a bilateral meeting in Istanbul and the opening of the TurkStream gas pipeline. The two countries support opposite sides in Libya: Turkey supports the U.N.-backed Government of National Accord, while Russia supports the Libyan National Army, […]

Iranian and American Strategies After Soleimani

Iran has expressed outrage at the killing of Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Quds Force, and has announced a resumption of its nuclear enrichment program, but little in the way of reprisals has actually taken place. For the United States, the goal of killing Soleimani was to break the Iranian sphere of influence. Its […]

Geopolitical Futures’ Forecast for 2020

Introduction A year is an arbitrary moment. It is short, its length determined by a planet’s rotation around a sun. It is merely a moment in a longer and more complex tale in which figures who tower for a time pass by unnoticed, when the triumphs and tragedies that rivet us all fade away, all […]

Daily Memo: Fallout in Iran, the Future of the JCPOA

The Middle East is still reeling from the killing of Qassem Soleimani.

Iran and the United States: What Comes Next

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In order to understand the current confrontation between Iran and the United States, we might begin with the Persian-Babylonian wars. Alternatively, we could begin...