Command of the Sea

Command of the sea is the foundation of American national security. Adm. Alfred Thayer Mahan, the greatest strategist in American history, identified it as the core American interest (though he wrote before the war on terrorism began and before the development of nuclear weapons). The United States, he argued, can be threatened only by an […]

US-China Trade Talks and American Strategy

The United States is shifting from military to economic warfare.

China, Mexico and US Trade

China is no longer the United States’ top trade partner. What does this mean for Mexico?

The Hong Kong Extradition Bill and China’s Weakness

The proposed law is a sign that China isn’t as strong as it would like everyone to believe.

Who Benefits From the US-China Trade War?

Several markets stand to benefit from the escalating trade dispute between the United States and China. Here, we take a look at two countries that will likely see an increase in trade with the U.S. as a result of the trade war.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: China and a Global Economic Contraction

The protests in Hong Kong must be understood in the context of a global economic slowdown.

Conflicting Claims in the South China Sea

Taking stock of claims and capabilities in the South China Sea.

China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

Supply Chains and Geopolitics

U.S. tariffs on China could disrupt supply chains on which American companies depend.

Recession, Synchronized and Desynchronized

Three of the world's largest economies are showing signs of a downturn.

Hong Kong’s Present Is Taiwan’s Future

China’s complacency is a sign of confidence, not weakness.

Visiting China

I can’t explain China. I don’t know it well enough, and sometimes it seems to me that the Chinese are experts on their country, but they’re experts that don’t agree. Still, China is an American adversary, and an adversarial relationship between these two countries is dangerous even if it doesn’t lead to war. Therefore, I […]