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Reality Check

What Happens After China

Jan. 11, 2016 The media was fixated on China’s stock market meltdown last week, but the broader significance of events such as these is their impact on the global export market.

China, Saudi Arabia and Germany: The Export Crisis Matures

Jan. 8, 2016 The impact of the export market’s global decline, which was initiated by the 2008 financial crisis, is reverberating through the supply chain and spreading to more countries.

The Use of Irrationality in Foreign Affairs

Jan. 7, 2016 The North Korean regime has mastered the art of uncertainty to manipulate the world.

The Inadequacy of Chinese Statistics

Jan. 6, 2016 Why is Beijing preventing Chinese institutions from selling stocks if there is so much foreign investment, and why is there such an increase in the level of capital flight?

The Oil Circle

Jan. 5, 2016 The decline of oil prices has affected many countries, but has begun to show conspicuously in Saudi Arabia.

Iran and Saudi Arabia: Posturing and Reality

Jan. 4, 2016 Having failed to pacify Iraq, the United States has moved to a more complex strategy of trying to maintain a balance of power among major regional powers.

The Chinese Central Committee and the People’s Liberation Army Face Off

Dec. 31, 2015 Sources in China are reporting increased tension between the Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army.

Thinking About the American Presidency

Dec. 30, 2015 To understand the American political system, it is important to grasp how little power the American president has at his disposal.

The State of Islamic State

Dec. 29, 2015 Without knowing the details of the Islamic State’s activities in the weeks and days before the Kurdish-led alliance took the Tishrin Dam in Syria, it isn’t clear whether this was a major defeat or even preparation by IS for a new offensive elsewhere.

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Dec. 28, 2015 The quiet of the past few days gives us an opportunity to explain how we decide whether or not an event is important.

The Azerbaijan Question Re-emerges

Dec. 24, 2015 Relations between Azerbaijan and the U.S. have recently deteriorated, which could have an impact on American interests in the Middle East and Russia.

The Battle for Ramadi

Dec. 23, 2015 The reality is that the Islamic State is retreating from a non-crucial town not integral to its current battle plans.

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