Update on Major Forecasts

June 6, 2016 Developments in Germany, China and Kazakhstan indicate our forecast is on track.

The 3 Scenarios of the Singapore Summit

It’s not as if Trump and Kim have limitless options.

A Big Surprise in the Battle for Raqqa

June 6, 2017 The offensive, launched June 6, could indicate a new understanding between Moscow and Washington. 

Russia Raises the Stakes Against Ukraine

Aug. 10, 2016 A series of events have increased tensions in recent days.

Putin Fires Ally

Aug. 12, 2016 This comes amid significant reshuffling in Moscow.

Coup in Turkey

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July 15, 2016 The military has claimed a takeover of the government.

Turkey Attack Linked to Islamic State in Central Asia

June 30, 2016 Uzbek and Kyrgyz suicide bombers show that IS has increased its influence in the volatile region.

Iran, Israel: Making Trouble but Not War

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Headlines to the contrary are a bit misleading.

Brexit’s Impact on Italian Banks

June 27, 2016 The Italian government’s response to the crisis so far has been limited by EU regulations.

Chinese Military Movements and North Korea

April 11, 2017 Reports suggest Chinese army personnel may be mobilizing.

Trouble Brewing in Iran?

The country grows more unstable by the week.