HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting

It has been more than one and a half years since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. The war has not gone as the...

Russia Seals Its Southern Border

Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There is, however, another front that concerns Russia: its southern border,...

The Chinese Mystery

Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu has disappeared. Some reports say he was meeting with Vietnamese officials when he was escorted away, but according to...

9/11: The Perfect Op

It has been 22 years since the 9/11 attack that destroyed the World Trade Center buildings and a wing of the Pentagon and launched...

A Shift in Ukrainian Strategy

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced over the weekend that he replaced his defense minister with someone new ā€“ unsurprising, given the exhaustion the minister...

The Genius of Labor Day

Editor's note: To mark the Labor Day holiday, we are republishing this article, originally released in 2020. Labor Day became an American Federal Holiday in...

Prigozhin RIP, Or Do the Best You Can

Wagner Group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is dead. He died of a fatal dose of self-confidence. He made three mistakes. First, he thought himself a...

Next Stage of Forecasting

As we at GPF undertake our next long-term forecast, weā€™d like to do so with a degree of transparency. A degree is all we...

The Crisis of Demography

In my book ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ I argued that one of the greatest challenges facing the United States, even humanity as a whole,...

Belarus Reaches Out to Poland and the EU

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made a speech last week in which he appeared to be reaching out to the West. Belarus has been a...

Benchmarking China

For some time, China has been regarded as an economic miracle, a country whose rise would in due course put it atop the global...

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