HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Thinking About Intelligence

The news from Israel has been stunning, and the explanation that many are providing for what happened is that there was an “intelligence failure.” This reminds me of a Yankees baseball pitcher who had a no-hitter going into the 9th inning. On the second out of the inning, a White Sox player squished a sad […]

The World Begins to Reorder Itself

I wrote a few months ago that the world is in the process of reordering itself, something it does every few generations. It is...

The Hamas-Israel War

Editor's note: This is a special Sunday report on Hamas' surprise attack on Israel and the Israeli response. Hamas fighters launched a major attack on...

Thoughts on the American Interest

Recently, I wrote an article on the Ukraine war titled “The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting.” There were...

The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting

It has been more than one and a half years since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. The war has not gone as the...

Russia Seals Its Southern Border

Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There is, however, another front that concerns Russia: its southern border,...

The Chinese Mystery

Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu has disappeared. Some reports say he was meeting with Vietnamese officials when he was escorted away, but according to...

9/11: The Perfect Op

It has been 22 years since the 9/11 attack that destroyed the World Trade Center buildings and a wing of the Pentagon and launched...

A Shift in Ukrainian Strategy

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced over the weekend that he replaced his defense minister with someone new – unsurprising, given the exhaustion the minister...

The Genius of Labor Day

Editor's note: To mark the Labor Day holiday, we are republishing this article, originally released in 2020. Labor Day became an American Federal Holiday in...

Prigozhin RIP, Or Do the Best You Can

Wagner Group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is dead. He died of a fatal dose of self-confidence. He made three mistakes. First, he thought himself a...

Next Stage of Forecasting

As we at GPF undertake our next long-term forecast, we’d like to do so with a degree of transparency. A degree is all we...

Latest Posts

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now