HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Know Your Enemy

The most important thing in poker is knowing who you are playing against. You need to know his weakness – not all of them, mind you, but an appropriately fatal one. For poker is a complex game, one so requiring a vastness of human talent that you have to assume your opponent’s strengths are many. […]

America’s Iran Strategy

President Barack Obama’s administration had a primary goal in the Middle East: It did not want Iran to become a nuclear power. It did...

Texas Weather

Somewhere I heard the saying that climate is what you expect, and weather is what you get. I live in Texas and we certainly...

Speculating on China and Cuba

From a military standpoint, China is in a difficult position. It is a trading power and needs access to the global oceans. Its significant...

The Crisis of the Medical Establishment

It has been about a year since the world entered a medical crisis for which there had been no cure. For much of the...

Biden’s First Middle East Moves

Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden took two steps in the Middle East. The first was that he notified Congress of his intention to...

The Importance of Key West

I am writing this from Key West in Florida because after a year my wife decided I needed to get out of the house...

The Institutionalization of Crises

About a year after the COVID-19 pandemic introduced its new rules of survival, my wife and I risked life and limb for the chance...

The Origins of the Public and Private

Last week, I wrote a piece about the virtues of private life and its centrality to the good life. I want to go deeper...

Biden’s ‘Reversals’

Just about every U.S. president promises a new era of U.S. foreign policy. George W. Bush promised to abolish nation building as a goal....

In Praise of Private Life

Joe Biden has been inaugurated as president of the United States, and Donald Trump has taken the traditional flight home. Many are incensed by...

Obama, Trump and Biden: Consistency in Foreign Policy

U.S. foreign policy comes in phases. From the end of World War II to 1972, its goal was to confront the Soviet Union and...

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