HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Germany, May 8, 1945

On May 8, 1945, Germany formally declared defeat in World War II. As others have said, there was one war in Europe that began...

Apple and the Past

A few days ago, my phone ā€“ a 10-year-old iPhone 6 ā€“ died. Or, more precisely, it continued to work as a phone but...

Anzac Day, Memorial Day and the Geopolitics of a Friendship

In history, and in the history of my family, Memorial Day and Anzac Day are intimately bound. On Memorial Day, which comes next month,...

History and Memory

Earlier this week, I published a piece on Afghanistan, and in the course of writing that piece, I mentioned the origins of the U.S.-Afghan...

Remembering al-Qaida

The United States invaded Afghanistan 20 years ago, soon after the attack on Sept. 11, 2001. By 2008, then-President Barack Obama made it a...

Texas on My Mind

Last weekend, my wife and I went to the town of Bandera, in the western part of the Texas Hill Country. (We live in...

The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia

Much has been made of Chinaā€™s seemingly unending potential to invade Taiwan ā€“ nearly as much as Russiaā€™s buildup near Ukraine, which many believe...

The Myth of a Rules-Based World

Two concepts have been constantly used in discussions of international relations of late. One is a liberal international order and the second is a...

China as a Third World Country

There is much discussion about the surging Chinese economy and the expanding international influence of China. There is no question that Chinaā€™s economy has...

The Problem With Face Masks and Vaccinations

On Thursday, my wife and I got our second COVID-19 vaccination. I would like to go to a bar, strike up a conversation with...

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

Iā€™ve often written about chokepoints ā€“ those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

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