HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Beginning of a New Era

George Friedman -
A week ago, I wrote a piece on the stages of history, pointing out systemic shifts that have taken place for more than 200...

A Visit to Atomic Land

George Friedman -
Earlier this week, my wife and I were in Santa Fe, New Mexico, to speak before the World Affairs Council there (now with the...

The Ukraine War, Redefined

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine began under a faulty assumption shared by many, including the United States, that if Russia invaded, it would defeat Ukraine,...

Historical Phases and Transitions

George Friedman -
I have said before that 1991 was the year one era ended and another began. In 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed and the Maastricht...

The World and a Small War

George Friedman -
No war is small when you are living in it, but the world is large, and large wars are rare. At the same time,...

The Pain and Pleasure of Being Right

George Friedman -
In 2009, I published a book about the next century called "The Next 100 Years," in which I predicted that Russia would become increasingly...

Time For Putin’s Hail Mary Pass

George Friedman -
Alexander Dvornikov isn’t exactly a household name, but it could be soon. He’s the Russian general President Vladimir Putin has put in charge of...

War, Hatred and Exhaustion

George Friedman -
For much of my life, my father worked as a typesetter for The New York Times. Type was spit out by linotype machines, and...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...

A Visit to Dubai

George Friedman -
On the last day of our trip to Dubai, my wife and I are struggling to understand the precise meaning of “one day.” In...

The Emerging Order

George Friedman -
I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in...

How the Ukrainian Battlefield Redefines the World

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there...
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