HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Writing a New Book

Writing is my addiction. Every time I finish writing a book, I swear itā€™s the last time. But after a while, I break my pledge. I approach the editor who has shepherded my last five books, expecting that he has come to his senses, only to find he has not. And so it begins. The […]

Struggling to Find the Exit From War

French President Emmanuel Macron said last week that an off-ramp must be found for Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine. This is not a...

Japanā€™s Return to History?

After World War II, the United States wrote a constitution for Japan that stated, in Article 9, that Japan would not maintain a military...

Americaā€™s Interests in Ukraine

Nearly every time Russia has been invaded, it has been saved by its strategic depth. Russia canā€™t truly be defeated without first taking Moscow,...

The Meaning of Memorial Day

Editor's note: To mark Memorial Day in the United States, we are republishing this article, originally published on May 28, 2019. Iā€™m writing this on...

Why I Disagree With Henry Kissinger

Henry Kissinger recently spoke at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he made two significant statements. One was that Ukraine must be...

A New, Old Global Reality

The United States recently said that it would defend Taiwan in the event China invades it. More interesting is that Japan, a country that...

From Paris to Vienna

My wife and I are still Europe, where we are scheduled to meet with Europeans working in areas in which, to my dismay, some...

Ode to France

Paris, where my wife and I are spending some time, is a city that must be walked, preferably without a map or destination. Like...

A Note on More Personal Considerations

I am writing this from the Fontainebleau hotel in Miami Beach at the beginning of a month of wandering. Meredith and I have wandered...

How the Ukraine War May End

Russia has been waging war in Ukraine for a little over two months now. Thatā€™s not an especially long time. The Korean War lasted...

Russiaā€™s Broken Logic for Invading Ukraine

History shows that in war, a rapid victory doesnā€™t require a carefully considered justification. A country goes in, wins, and makes the case later....

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