From the Desk of George Friedman

Perhaps this time is different.

It is hard to imagine an Arab alliance that can cohere as a military giant.

It was a time that changed everything.

China is no longer the United States’ top trade partner. What does this mean for Mexico?

Beijing will use what leverage it has to prevent the U.S. from taking a tougher stance on trade.

Whoever defines the past controls the present and future.

April 12, 2017 A strategy toward the Middle East requires more than short-term tactical moves.

The fundamental problem of geopolitical theory is simple: Why do soldiers choose to die for their country? Gen. George Patton famously told his troops that he didn’t want them to die for their country. He wanted the other poor bastards to die for theirs. He and his troops knew that as solicitous as Patton appeared […]

Peripheral to the crisis on the Korean Peninsula, Japan is slowly building up military capabilities.

Sept. 20, 2017 The president’s need to expand his support base took him down a path many didn’t expect.

I’m writing this on Memorial Day, a day dedicated to remembering those who died fighting for the United States and to enjoying the first outdoor gatherings of the summer. For some, marking the day by enjoying the pleasures of a barbecue seems a betrayal of the dead. For me, it is a celebration of life. […]

Nov. 15, 2017 Multilateral groupings are usually impotent, so why are there so many of them?