Home From the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

NATO, the Middle East and Eastern Europe

Feb. 22, 2017 NATO’s mission has shifted, but are its members willing to meet the new challenges?

NATO and the United States

Jan. 18, 2017 The president-elect has pointed out a reality many choose to ignore.

Going to the Moon and Going to India

Last weekend marked the 50th anniversary of the Apollo 11 mission, the first manned space flight to the moon. In endless articles, observers are asking why no attempts have been made to land men on the moon since the Apollo program. In considering this, I think it’s useful to examine the U.S. and other space […]

The Story of Venezuela

It’s time to take a break from my search for the meaning of the nation and turn my focus to specific countries. I will start with Venezuela, which has been experiencing a political and economic crisis for several years. I spent a good deal of time in Venezuela in the 1990s. The reason for my […]

As North Korea Goes Nuclear, U.S.-China Relations Sour

Beijing will use what leverage it has to prevent the U.S. from taking a tougher stance on trade.

The Instability of Britain

Brexit is less important than the increasing fragility of Britain and the British Isles.

The Illusion of a Russia-China Alliance

Neither country can solve the other’s top economic and strategic problems.

What a War with North Korea Looks Like

April 19, 2017 None of the options, apart from de-escalation, are attractive.

An American Recession and the World

April 26, 2017 The U.S. appears to be on the cusp of a cyclical recession.

China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

Hypersonics and Modern War

Hypersonics could introduce a radically new type of war.

The Battle for the Past

Whoever defines the past controls the present and future.