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From the Desk of George Friedman

Germany and Russia: The Long Dance

Perhaps this time is different.

Creating an Arab NATO

It is hard to imagine an Arab alliance that can cohere as a military giant.

1989-1992: A Global Pivot

It was a time that changed everything.

China, Mexico and US Trade

China is no longer the United States’ top trade partner. What does this mean for Mexico?

As North Korea Goes Nuclear, U.S.-China Relations Sour


Beijing will use what leverage it has to prevent the U.S. from taking a tougher stance on trade.

The Battle for the Past

Whoever defines the past controls the present and future.

The United States, Syria and Russia


April 12, 2017 A strategy toward the Middle East requires more than short-term tactical moves.

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Enchantment and Geopolitics

The fundamental problem of geopolitical theory is simple: Why do soldiers choose to die for their country? Gen. George Patton famously told his troops that he didn’t want them to die for their country. He wanted the other poor bastards to die for theirs. He and his troops knew that as solicitous as Patton appeared […]

Japan’s North Korea Strategy: A Solid Defense


Peripheral to the crisis on the Korean Peninsula, Japan is slowly building up military capabilities.

The Constraints That Define Donald Trump


Sept. 20, 2017 The president’s need to expand his support base took him down a path many didn’t expect.

The Meaning of Memorial Day

I’m writing this on Memorial Day, a day dedicated to remembering those who died fighting for the United States and to enjoying the first outdoor gatherings of the summer. For some, marking the day by enjoying the pleasures of a barbecue seems a betrayal of the dead. For me, it is a celebration of life. […]

International Organizations Are Tools for Powerful Countries


Nov. 15, 2017 Multilateral groupings are usually impotent, so why are there so many of them?