Forecast Tracker: 2019 First Quarter Update

The U.S. and China negotiate on trade, Russian frustrations simmer, European economies struggle.

The Fallout From a Currency Crunch

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

NAFTA Talks Heat Up, Saudi Arabia Calms Down

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

China, Russia and the Nature of Forecasting

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

A Trade War Heats Up

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

Ups and Downs in International Relations, All Eyes on Central Asia

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

Russia Needles, Turkey Postures, China Reforms – Mostly

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. Hit China and the U.S. were seemingly inches from a deal for nearly the entire year, but they repeatedly struggled to push negotiations across […]

Forecast Tracker: 2019 November Update

A Cycle Ends The U.S. and China will reach a deal on trade, but it won’t end the trade war. On track Washington’s willingness to settle for a less ambitious trade deal was a major turning point in the trade war. All that’s left now for the two sides is to work out the mechanics […]

On NAFTA, US Engagement in the Middle East, and the China-Japan...

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

Success Stories

Checking the pulse of our annual predictions, every two weeks.

Forecast Tracker: 2019 Second Quarter Update

The trade war roller coaster, the economy's other shoe, the offensive against Iran.