The Coming Turkey-Iran Conflict

Dec. 9, 2015 As Turkey becomes more active in defending its interests in Syria and Iraq, tensions with Iran are rising.

A Big Day in Geopolitics

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Dec. 8, 2015 We look at how several key geopolitical developments in Europe, Russia and Latin America yesterday impact Geopolitical Futures’ forecast.

Electricity Partially Restored in Crimea

Dec. 8, 2015 After two weeks without electricity, Ukraine partially restored power to Crimea, following a visit to Kiev by U.S. Vice President Joe Biden yesterday.

Russian Ruble Weakens

Dec. 8, 2015 Russia’s currency fell today, after crude oil prices slumped, presenting challenges for the government’s recently approved 2016 budget.

Islamic State’s Current Standing

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Dec. 7, 2015 The group has managed to redefine the region’s borders, suggesting it is far more than just a terrorist organization.

China’s Anti-Corruption Campaign

Dec. 7, 2015 The government is reportedly expanding its campaign against corrupt officials over the next two years.

Venezuela Election Results

Dec. 7, 2015 The degree to which MUD can challenge President Nicola Maduro and redirect the Venezuelan government depends on how much of a majority it holds in the National Assembly.

French Far-Right Party Makes Gains

Dec. 7, 2015 The National Front achieved its best ever electoral performance in the first round of regional elections.

Biden Visits Ukraine

Dec. 7, 2015 The U.S. is likely concerned that Kiev could trigger a crisis in the region at a time when Washington is working to create a broad coalition, which includes Russia, to fight the Islamic State in Syria.

Turkey-Russia Dispute Intensifies

Dec. 7, 2015 In what amounts to an escalation of tensions between the two countries, Turkey has reportedly been delaying passage through the Bosporus Strait for Russian ships.

Poland and Nuclear Weapons

Dec. 6, 2015 Poland’s defense ministry has denied that the country wants to join NATO’s nuclear weapons program, even though the deputy defense minister previously said the country was considering hosting nuclear weapons.

Evaluating a Rumor About Islamic State

Dec. 5, 2015 A rumor has surfaced about a potential split in the Islamic State.