GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

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Is the US Preparing to Attack North Korea?

On Monday, George Friedman, global-intelligence expert and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, dropped a bombshell: “I’m usually the guy to tell you about the next decade, but today I’m going...

Why Russia Can’t End the North Korea Crisis

May 26, 2017 The Kremlin wants to appear influential in an issue that has great consequence for the U.S.

How Iran Can Project Power in the Middle East

May 26, 2017 Iran is more formidable on paper than perhaps it is in practice. It is the 17th-largest country in the world and the 17th-most populous. It is the sixth-largest producer of oil and the third-largest producer of natural gas. And, according to the International Monetary Fund, it boasts the world’s 29th-largest economy by gross domestic product despite decades of economic sanctions against it.

But the country is constrained by its demography. Iran has several large minority populations, including Azeris, Kurds, Arabs and Baluchis, all of which have separatist tendencies. Since its founding in 1979, when it toppled the secular monarchy, the current regime has tried to solve this problem by cultivating a national identity steeped in Shiism. (The shared use of the Persian language has also helped in that regard. In fact, historically, it has influenced the cultures and civilizations of peoples in all the surrounding regions.)

But religion can go only so far. Its efforts have not exactly endeared the government to the Sunni minorities that populate Iran’s farther reaches. And the clerics who dominate the government are often at odds with the country’s republican institutions.

The Islamic World Has a Blasphemy Problem

“As far back as the 1750s, the Saudi polity really was based on religion and specifically Wahhabism ,” said Kamran Bokhari, a senior analyst at Geopolitical Futures. Full Story

South Korea Fires Shots at Suspected North Korean Drone

“Geopolitical Futures founder George Friedman said on Tuesday that the U.S. is now preparing for an imminent attack on North Korea.” Full Story

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The Geopolitics of the American President

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