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Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Houthi Attacks on Saudi Arabia Alarm Pakistan

Analysis Geopolitical Futures -
Alliance commitments. Further Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia would cross a “red line” and...
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Weekly Graphic

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Middle East and North Africa

Building Around the Strait of Hormuz

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Plans by Dubai port operator DP World to expand port infrastructure on the eastern seaboard of United Arab Emirates should be understood...
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Middle East and North Africa

Turkey’s Ascent as a Defense Industrial Player

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Turkey’s defense industry is expanding rapidly. The country became the world’s 11th-largest supplier of arms exports recently, while its share of global...
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Weekly Graphic

The Race for Energy Security

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) The International Energy Agency released its 2026 energy investment report, highlighting the key investment regions and sectors as the world continues to...
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Sub-Saharan Africa

Expanding the Copperbelt’s Atlantic Export Routes

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Geopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) U.S. strategy toward African critical minerals is changing rapidly. The United States’ Millennium Challenge Corporation has agreed to expand the use of...
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Latest Analysis

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George Answers Your Questions: As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances and A Major Move by India

Analysis George Friedman -
As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances By Kamran Bokhari July 15, 2026 Question: In the analysis, Israel is not mentioned, but it still is the dominant economic and...
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Why the US and Iran Are Both on the Clock

AnalysisAndrew Davidson -
Over the past few days, U.S. forces said they struck more than 300 Iranian...
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In the Asia-Pacific, a New Security Arrangement Takes Shape

AnalysisVictoria Herczegh -
Last week, Japan, Australia and New Zealand reaffirmed their commitment to closer defense cooperation...
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The Coming Defense Boom

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As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
For all the attention paid to the conflict in Iran, the broader changes in...
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NATO Puts Its Money Where Its Mouth Is

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
The most recent NATO summit, held in Ankara on July 7, marked a new...
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A Major Move by India

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce...
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George Answers Your Questions: A Strange Article from Tass and The Conception and Birth of the United States

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
A Strange Article from Tass July 6, 2026 Question: The Russians have been fighting with one...
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Russia’s Size and Centralization Become Liabilities

AnalysisEkaterina Zolotova -
This week, a drone threat was declared for the first time ever in the...
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The Red Sea: A Strategic Basin Far Beyond the Houthi Threat

AnalysisKamran Bokhari -
Security in the Red Sea basin is often boiled down to one thing: the...
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Adam Smith and the Defense Industry

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Adam Smith was the father of modern economics. As laid out in his book...
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Washington’s Quiet Return to the Sahel

AnalysisRonan Wordsworth -
The United States is edging back into the junta-led Sahelian states from which it...
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From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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George Answers Your Questions: As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances and A Major Move by India

George Friedman -
As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances By Kamran Bokhari July 15, 2026 Question: In the analysis, Israel is not mentioned, but it still is the dominant economic and...
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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

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Press Room

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US Bargaining With China and Russia

Analysis Kamran Bokhari -
With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...
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American Naval Policy and China

Analysis George Friedman -
Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...
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Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

Analysis Antonia Colibasanu -
One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...
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Daily Memo: Maritime Developments in the Middle East and Europe

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
New route. The UAE is considering building a new port to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Dubai-based port operator DP World is reportedly in...
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NATO Puts Its Money Where Its Mouth Is

AnalysisAntonia Colibasanu -
The most recent NATO summit, held in Ankara on July 7, marked a new chapter for the alliance. Unlike most other summits meant to...
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Daily Memo: India-New Zealand Ties, Turkish Mediation

AmericasGeopolitical Futures -
India in the South Pacific. India and New Zealand upgraded their relationship to a strategic partnership, signing 18 agreements covering defense, security, investment and...
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A Major Move by India

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AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere. Aside from his actions...
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George Answers Your Questions: A Strange Article from Tass and The Conception and Birth of the United States

AnalysisGeorge Friedman -
A Strange Article from Tass July 6, 2026 Question: The Russians have been fighting with one hand tied behind their backs for years, because they haven't...
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Turkey’s Ascent as a Defense Industrial Player

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Middle East and North AfricaGeopolitical Futures -
(click to enlarge) Turkey’s defense industry is expanding rapidly. The country became the world’s 11th-largest supplier of arms exports recently, while its share of global...
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