Real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events.

Brief: The UK and the USMCA

Background: The post-Brexit United Kingdom is still trying to define its...

Brief: North Korea Tests a Missile and Biden

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Background: North Korea has been relatively quiet for the past year...

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What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Evergrande Keeps Mum on Bond Payment Deadline

Watching for signs. There are conflicting reports about whether embattled Chinese property giant Evergrande...

What We're Reading

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What We’re Reading: Questioning American Exceptionalism

American Power After Afghanistan By Jessica T. Matthews “American exceptionalism” is a uniquely polarizing idea. Its...

What We’re Reading: Sober Spy Dramas

The Bureau Created by Eric Rochant To enjoy spy shows, viewers inevitably have to suspend their...

The Syrian Kurds’ Long Road to Recognition

The origins of the Kurdish question in Syria can be traced back to the...

Turkey’s Ambitious Plans for Africa

For years, Turkey has pursued an ambitious agenda, expanding its influence in countries and...

Featured Analysis

The Nagging Question in the Indo-Pacific

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Senior U.S. diplomats were fanned out across the Indo-Pacific last week. U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin toured Southeast Asia, outlining to circumspect U.S. partners...

Why Australia Spurned France

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The decision by the Australian government to join a U.S.-British consortium to help construct...

Rolling in the Deep of the Indo-Pacific

In a landmark announcement Thursday, Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom unveiled...

Mexico’s Moment

The stars have aligned to present Mexico with the unique opportunity, however slight, to...

Bonus Chapter: The Five Eyes

Editor’s note: In a supplementary chapter of his book “The Storm Before the Calm,”...

Chip Manufacturing and Cars

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(click to enlarge) There's a dizzying array of supply chain problems contributing to the global surge in inflation. One of the stickiest is the now-yearslong...

Mercosur’s Changing Trade Patterns

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(click to enlarge) In 1991, Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay established Mercosur to increase their participation in global trade and improve their negotiating positions with...

Next Generation EU Begins

(click to enlarge) In 2020, the European Union was still recovering from the 2008 global financial crisis – and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis of...

How the Global Economy Works, or Seems To

There is an interesting pattern that takes place in the global system. A nation emerges that is able to produce industrial products at low...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2021

Economic and political fallout from COVID-19 responses will remain the primary driver of events in 2021.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2020

Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020.

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Media / Interviews

RealClearWorld: Is This Uzbekistan’s Time?

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In our 2019 Annual Forecast, we said we expected Uzbekistan to challenge Kazakhstan as the dominant power in Central Asia. The COVID-19 pandemic delayed any...

El Herald de Mexico: México-EEUU: ¿nuevo trato?

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"'Si bien las iniciativas de México pueden no tener el mismo impacto en el hemisferio que las de Washington, son suficientes para mostrarle a...

Cicero: Projekt „Blaue Heimat“

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Die Türkei tritt im östlichen Mittelmeerraum zunehmend aggressiv auf – es geht um Gasvorkommen, den Zypern-Konflikt und um geostrategische Ziele. Wegen der Pandemie hat...

Trending Content

Rolling in the Deep of the Indo-Pacific

In a landmark announcement Thursday, Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom unveiled a new trilateral Indo-Pacific security alliance. The pact is expected...

Chip Manufacturing and Cars

FREE
(click to enlarge) There's a dizzying array of supply chain problems contributing to the global surge in inflation. One of the stickiest is the now-yearslong...

Mexico’s Moment

The stars have aligned to present Mexico with the unique opportunity, however slight, to improve its position relative to the United States. Mexico’s proximity...

Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

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Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

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