The Geopolitics of the Coronavirus

The outbreak has never been strictly a medical crisis.


Beijing’s Big Bet in Hong Kong

When Beijing retook control of Hong Kong from the British 23 years ago, the understanding was that Hong Kong would maintain a high degree...

The ‘Spies and Commandos’ of Afghanistan

The media exploded late last week with reports that Russia had paid the Taliban bounties to kill U.S. and Afghan troops. The plot was...

The Caesar Act and Assad’s Moment of Reckoning

Last December, U.S. President Donald Trump signed the Caesar Syria Civilian Protection Act – with strong bipartisan Congressional support – to hold the Syrian...

India Rising

India’s days as a fairly quiet giant on the world stage are coming to an end. For much of the 21st century, India has...

Will the Coronavirus Forge a Brave New World?

Of all the major geopolitical players on the planet, Mother Nature may be the toughest adversary. Nature has neither imperatives nor constraints to guide...

Putin’s New History of Europe and the Rehabilitation of Stalin

Russian President Vladimir Putin likes to argue that World War II, and much of the suffering wrought by it, was the responsibility not just...

For Russia, the Future Is North

Stabilizing its Arctic regions is becoming a priority for Moscow.

Why the Himalayas Are Worth Fighting For

It says quite a bit about the sheer improbability of a major China-India war in the Himalayas that this week’s deadly clash in the...

Turkey and Iran’s Entente in Iraq

Earlier this week, there appeared to be a thaw in tensions between Iran and Turkey. After months of tense exchanges, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad...

Latin America’s Place in the World

Whether they like it or not, most countries are drawn into the international system in one way or another. For this reason, introducing the...

Recession or Depression

In March, we declared our 2020 forecast null and void. The COVID-19 pandemic had essentially rendered it irrelevant. The question we posed in March...

The US Walks a Fine Line in Eastern Europe

In early June, White House National Security Adviser Robert O’Brien signed a memorandum authorizing yet another drawdown of American troops, this time directing the...

What We're Reading

What We’re Reading: America at War and a Killer in the Streets of Bucharest

A Call to Arms: Mobilizing America for World War II Maury Klein “A Call to Arms” is the story of the reindustrialization of the United States...

What We’re Reading: Moon Missions and Commercial Espionage

13 Minutes to the Moon Produced by BBC This past weekend, on the night of the summer solstice, which happens to be my favorite day of...

What We’re Reading: The Promise and a Dystopic Collection

Söz Written by Ethem Ozisik While observing social distancing, my family spent a lot of time watching TV. Since the beginning of May, they have been...

What We’re Reading: Political Evolutions and Middle Eastern Rivalries

The End of History and the Last Man By Francis Fukuyama In the 2008 German film “Die Welle” (The Wave), based on a real-life social experiment...

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From the Desk of George Friedman

Facing Our Past

Perhaps the one unmistakable truth of the human condition is that we all live in the past. We are born in a place to...
George Friedman’s new book:
The Storm Before the Calm

The Storm before the Calm“Who will win the acrimonious 2020 presidential election? Shockingly, it won’t actually matter that much, argues renowned geopolitical forecaster George Friedman. America, he contends, is governed less by leaders and legislation and more by cyclical forces that work deep within the nation’s unique structure.”
Lone Star Literary Life

Daily Memo: Russian Constitutional Reforms, Korean Compromises

Russian reforms. In a seven-day referendum that ended on Wednesday, 77.9 percent of Russians voted to approve more than 200 amendments to the constitution,...

Media / Interviews

American Council on Science and Health: Will The Coronavirus Forge A Brave New World?

There are already reports that the coronavirus is making a comeback, from Beijing to California. Once again, we may not know the exact timing or scope of the second wave, but Mother Nature’s patterns tell us that we should be planning for one. - Alex Berezow Full story

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The Geopolitics of Donald Trump

“There are those who regard Donald Trump as too stupid to make decisions. There are others who regard him as a brilliant if instinctive crafter of policy. What we know of him is this. "


The World in 2020

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

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